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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Analysis

This is a peer-relative look at United Parcel Service (UPS): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Transportation peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.

Company Profile

Company profile fields for United Parcel Service (UPS)
Profile ItemUPS
NameUnited Parcel Service, Inc. Class B Common Stock
Country/RegionUnited States
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS Industry GroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
GICS Sub-IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Market Capitalization87.03 billion USD
CurrencyUSD
ExchangeNYSE
Listing DateNovember 10, 1999
Security TypeCommon Stock

Price Performance

Cumulative Growth

UPS
GSPC
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United Parcel Service (UPS) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Growth of a $10,000 investment over the past five years. Adjusted for dividends and splits.

Trailing Returns

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Trailing total returns for United Parcel Service (UPS) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Returns over one year are annualized.

Calendar-Year Returns

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Calendar-year total returns for United Parcel Service (UPS) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is that year's total return, measured year-end to year-end.

Performance Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
Total Return (1Y)29.04%25.22%
Total Return (3Y, Annualized)-10.25%9.12%
Total Return (5Y, Annualized)-8.07%7.70%

Risk Profile

Drawdown History

UPS
GSPC
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United Parcel Service (UPS) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Drawdown from the running peak over the past five years. Each line shows the decline from its prior peak; 0% marks a new high.

Return Distribution

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Distribution of monthly total returns for United Parcel Service (UPS) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is the share of months whose return fell in that 5% bucket.

Risk Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
Volatility (1Y, Annualized)29.15%40.26%
Beta (5Y)1.061.18
Max Drawdown (5Y)-57.92%-51.43%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Return Positioning

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Each dot is a stock plotted by 1-year volatility (risk) and 1-year return. UPS is highlighted; the dashed line is the Capital Allocation Line from the risk-free rate through the industry median — dots above it are stronger on a risk-adjusted basis.

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)0.850.57
Sortino Ratio (1Y)1.190.84

Profitability

ROE (TTM)

United Parcel Service (UPS) posts ROE of 29.60%, in the upper peer quartile. That suggests the company earns more from each dollar of shareholders’ equity than most industry peers, a useful capital-efficiency signal.

UPS

Transportation industry group

29.60%

Group distribution
Max
42.67%
UPS
29.60%
Q3
21.91%
Median
11.31%
Q1
1.36%
Min
-15.07%
Largest peers
UNP
39.70%
UBER
37.16%
UPS
29.60%
CSX
24.36%
CNI
22.02%
FDX
14.85%
CP
8.15%
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on ROE within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Net Margin (TTM)

United Parcel Service (UPS) keeps 5.08% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.

UPS

Transportation industry group

5.08%

Group distribution
Max
51.26%
Q3
21.10%
Median
5.43%
UPS
5.08%
Q1
0.83%
Min
-11.37%
Largest peers
UNP
28.85%
CNI
26.92%
CP
25.03%
CSX
22.21%
UBER
17.35%
UPS
5.08%
FDX
4.68%
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on net margin within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Operating Margin (TTM)

United Parcel Service (UPS) turns 9.05% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.

UPS

Transportation industry group

9.05%

Group distribution
Max
50.63%
Q3
22.88%
Median
9.27%
UPS
9.05%
Q1
3.28%
Min
-11.50%
Largest peers
UNP
40.98%
CNI
40.27%
CP
38.98%
CSX
38.42%
UBER
13.32%
FDX
11.13%
UPS
9.05%
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on operating margin within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Profitability Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
ROE (TTM)29.60%11.31%
ROA (TTM)7.28%4.24%
Net Margin (TTM)5.08%5.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.05%9.27%
Gross Margin (TTM)22.41%27.99%

Growth

Revenue Growth

United Parcel Service (UPS) grew revenue -2.65%, in the lower peer quartile. The top line is expanding more slowly than at most peers, which can reflect softer demand, lost share, or weaker pricing.

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United Parcel Service (UPS): Revenue Growth across different time periods, set against Transportation industry-group medians.

EPS Growth

United Parcel Service (UPS) grew earnings per share -2.81%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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United Parcel Service (UPS): EPS Growth across different time periods, set against Transportation industry-group medians.

Growth Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
Revenue Growth (YoY)-2.65%2.79%
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR)-4.04%1.66%
EPS Growth (YoY)-2.81%-2.81%
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR)-20.79%-8.96%

Financial Strength

Current Ratio (MRQ)

United Parcel Service (UPS) has current ratio of 1.18, in the healthier middle range for its industry. The short-term asset cushion looks balanced relative to peers rather than stretched thin.

UPS

Transportation industry group

1.18

Group distribution
Max
2.50
Q3
1.59
UPS
1.18
Median
1.15
Q1
0.79
Min
0.28
Largest peers
FDX
1.48
UPS
1.18
UNP
0.99
CNI
0.87
UBER
0.84
CSX
0.82
CP
0.59
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on current ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Debt / Equity (MRQ)

United Parcel Service (UPS) has debt-to-equity ratio of 1.90, in the higher-leverage quartile for its industry. The heavier reliance on borrowing can make earnings, rates, or refinancing conditions matter more.

UPS

Transportation industry group

1.90

Group distribution
Max
2.08
UPS
1.90
Q3
1.38
Median
0.79
Q1
0.36
Min
0.00
Largest peers
UPS
1.90
UNP
1.51
CSX
1.38
FDX
1.36
CNI
1.04
CP
0.53
UBER
0.52
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on debt-to-equity ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Financial Strength Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
Current Ratio (MRQ)1.181.15
Debt / Equity (MRQ)1.900.79
Net Debt / EBITDA1.992.20

Dividends

Dividend Yield (TTM)

United Parcel Service (UPS) has dividend yield of 6.34%, above the entire industry range. That headline income is large, but yields this far above peers often come from a falling share price or an at-risk payout, so dividend safety matters more than the percentage itself.

UPS

Transportation industry group

6.34%

Group distribution
UPS
6.34%
Max
4.75%
Q3
2.00%
Median
0.76%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
UPS
6.34%
CNI
2.93%
UNP
1.91%
FDX
1.72%
CSX
1.10%
CP
1.04%
UBER
0.00%
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on dividend yield within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)

United Parcel Service (UPS) has payout ratio of 121.93%, meaning dividends exceeded current-period earnings. The gap would need to be covered by cash, retained earnings, financing, or other sources, so earnings alone do not support the payout.

UPS

Transportation industry group

121.93%

Group distribution
UPS
121.93%
Max
108.70%
Q3
44.78%
Median
21.03%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
UPS
121.93%
CNI
46.28%
UNP
44.70%
CSX
31.40%
FDX
31.27%
CP
22.14%
UBER
0.00%
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on payout ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
Dividend Yield (TTM)6.34%0.76%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)121.93%21.03%

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

United Parcel Service (UPS) trades at P/E ratio of 19.01, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.

UPS

Transportation industry group

19.01

Group distribution
Max
56.79
Q3
30.91
Median
19.67
UPS
19.01
Q1
12.11
Min
2.43
Largest peers
CP
29.45
CSX
28.73
UNP
23.47
CNI
21.91
UPS
19.01
FDX
17.40
UBER
16.61
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on P/E ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/S Ratio (TTM)

United Parcel Service (UPS) trades at 0.97 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.

UPS

Transportation industry group

0.97

Group distribution
Max
4.20
Q3
2.29
Median
1.21
UPS
0.97
Q1
0.59
Min
0.06
Largest peers
UNP
6.77
CSX
6.31
CP
5.21
CNI
4.20
UBER
2.80
UPS
0.97
FDX
0.81
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on P/S ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/B Ratio (MRQ)

United Parcel Service (UPS) trades at 5.78 on P/B ratio, in the higher book-value quartile. The market is paying a premium to book, so stronger ROE, cleaner assets, or a better growth profile need to justify it.

UPS

Transportation industry group

5.78

Group distribution
Max
7.22
UPS
5.78
Q3
3.63
Median
2.01
Q1
1.22
Min
-2.19
Largest peers
UNP
8.85
CSX
6.50
UPS
5.78
UBER
5.66
CNI
4.72
FDX
2.45
CP
2.39
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Where United Parcel Service (UPS) stands on P/B ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Valuation Metrics

United Parcel Service (UPS) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: UPSIndustry group median
P/E Ratio (TTM)19.0119.67
P/S Ratio (TTM)0.971.21
P/B Ratio (MRQ)5.782.01
Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM)6.43%3.07%