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Yum China (YUMC) Stock Analysis

This is a peer-relative look at Yum China (YUMC): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Consumer Services peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.

Company Profile

Company profile fields for Yum China (YUMC)
Profile ItemYUMC
NameYum China Holdings, Inc.
Country/RegionChina
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS Industry GroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
GICS Sub-IndustryRestaurants
Market Capitalization16.79 billion USD
CurrencyUSD
ExchangeNYSE
Listing DateOctober 17, 2016
Security TypeCommon Stock

Price Performance

Cumulative Growth

YUMC
GSPC
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Yum China (YUMC) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Growth of a $10,000 investment over the past five years. Adjusted for dividends and splits.

Trailing Returns

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Trailing total returns for Yum China (YUMC) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Returns over one year are annualized.

Calendar-Year Returns

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Calendar-year total returns for Yum China (YUMC) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is that year's total return, measured year-end to year-end.

Performance Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
Total Return (1Y)17.02%2.96%
Total Return (3Y, Annualized)6.80%9.94%
Total Return (5Y, Annualized)-0.60%1.66%

Risk Profile

Drawdown History

YUMC
GSPC
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Yum China (YUMC) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Drawdown from the running peak over the past five years. Each line shows the decline from its prior peak; 0% marks a new high.

Return Distribution

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Distribution of monthly total returns for Yum China (YUMC) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is the share of months whose return fell in that 5% bucket.

Risk Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
Volatility (1Y, Annualized)25.40%42.89%
Beta (5Y)0.011.05
Max Drawdown (5Y)-53.84%-59.81%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Return Positioning

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Each dot is a stock plotted by 1-year volatility (risk) and 1-year return. YUMC is highlighted; the dashed line is the Capital Allocation Line from the risk-free rate through the industry median — dots above it are stronger on a risk-adjusted basis.

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)0.50-0.04
Sortino Ratio (1Y)0.77-0.08

Profitability

ROE (TTM)

Yum China (YUMC) posts ROE of 17.35%, roughly around the peer group’s normal range. Shareholders’ equity is producing a return that looks broadly typical for the industry.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

17.35%

Group distribution
Max
76.75%
Q3
34.07%
YUMC
17.35%
Median
15.90%
Q1
3.23%
Min
-40.61%
Largest peers
RCL
41.29%
ABNB
35.79%
YUMC
17.35%
MCD
--
SBUX
--
BKNG
--
MAR
--
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on ROE within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Net Margin (TTM)

Yum China (YUMC) keeps 7.90% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

7.90%

Group distribution
Max
25.52%
Q3
12.95%
YUMC
7.90%
Median
6.63%
Q1
1.46%
Min
-14.36%
Largest peers
MAR
35.00%
MCD
32.38%
BKNG
25.52%
RCL
23.79%
ABNB
23.02%
YUMC
7.90%
SBUX
6.67%
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on net margin within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Operating Margin (TTM)

Yum China (YUMC) turns 13.09% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

13.09%

Group distribution
Max
49.05%
Q3
24.35%
Median
14.23%
YUMC
13.09%
Q1
5.67%
Min
-16.47%
Largest peers
MAR
66.18%
MCD
48.29%
ABNB
41.51%
BKNG
38.69%
RCL
33.61%
YUMC
13.09%
SBUX
12.76%
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on operating margin within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Profitability Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
ROE (TTM)17.35%15.90%
ROA (TTM)7.81%5.29%
Net Margin (TTM)7.90%6.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.09%14.23%
Gross Margin (TTM)20.45%44.51%

Growth

Revenue Growth

Yum China (YUMC) grew revenue 4.37%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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Yum China (YUMC): Revenue Growth across different time periods, set against Consumer Services industry-group medians.

EPS Growth

Yum China (YUMC) grew earnings per share 7.73%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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Yum China (YUMC): EPS Growth across different time periods, set against Consumer Services industry-group medians.

Growth Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
Revenue Growth (YoY)4.37%6.55%
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR)7.23%10.51%
EPS Growth (YoY)7.73%10.50%
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR)34.14%14.33%

Financial Strength

Current Ratio (MRQ)

Yum China (YUMC) has current ratio of 0.67, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

0.67

Group distribution
Max
3.41
Q3
1.85
Median
1.06
Q1
0.72
YUMC
0.67
Min
0.22
Largest peers
ABNB
1.73
BKNG
1.12
SBUX
0.76
YUMC
0.67
MAR
0.53
RCL
0.22
MCD
--
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on current ratio within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Debt / Equity (MRQ)

Yum China (YUMC) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

0.54

Group distribution
Max
6.12
Q3
2.93
Median
1.29
YUMC
0.54
Q1
0.37
Min
0.01
Largest peers
RCL
1.94
YUMC
0.54
ABNB
0.27
MCD
--
SBUX
--
BKNG
--
MAR
--
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on debt-to-equity ratio within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Financial Strength Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
Current Ratio (MRQ)0.671.06
Debt / Equity (MRQ)0.541.29
Net Debt / EBITDA0.853.12

Dividends

Dividend Yield (TTM)

Yum China (YUMC) has dividend yield of 2.23%, in the upper peer-yield quartile while still inside the industry range. The dividend offers more cash income per dollar of share price than most peers, though payout coverage still matters.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

2.23%

Group distribution
Max
4.10%
YUMC
2.23%
Q3
1.82%
Median
0.00%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
MCD
2.68%
SBUX
2.35%
YUMC
2.23%
RCL
1.70%
BKNG
0.98%
MAR
0.67%
ABNB
0.00%
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on dividend yield within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)

Yum China (YUMC) has payout ratio of 38.54%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

38.54%

Group distribution
Max
89.80%
YUMC
38.54%
Q3
36.83%
Median
0.00%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
SBUX
142.77%
MCD
58.86%
YUMC
38.54%
RCL
32.54%
MAR
27.92%
BKNG
17.84%
ABNB
0.00%
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on payout ratio within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.23%0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)38.54%0.00%

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

Yum China (YUMC) trades at P/E ratio of 17.34, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

17.34

Group distribution
Max
71.70
Q3
37.12
Median
21.88
YUMC
17.34
Q1
13.00
Min
5.72
Largest peers
SBUX
47.70
MAR
41.52
ABNB
35.65
MCD
21.88
RCL
19.36
BKNG
17.43
YUMC
17.34
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on P/E ratio within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/S Ratio (TTM)

Yum China (YUMC) trades at 1.32 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

1.32

Group distribution
Max
6.40
Q3
3.01
Median
1.54
YUMC
1.32
Q1
0.74
Min
0.08
Largest peers
MAR
14.15
ABNB
8.14
MCD
7.02
RCL
4.57
BKNG
4.25
SBUX
3.17
YUMC
1.32
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on P/S ratio within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/B Ratio (MRQ)

Yum China (YUMC) trades at 3.19 on P/B ratio, roughly in line with the industry’s normal price-to-book range. Its balance sheet is not being priced at a clear discount or premium versus peers.

YUMC

Consumer Services industry group

3.19

Group distribution
Max
12.02
Q3
5.58
YUMC
3.19
Median
2.37
Q1
1.09
Min
-4.51
Largest peers
ABNB
12.02
RCL
7.47
YUMC
3.19
BKNG
-11.52
SBUX
-15.67
MAR
-21.17
MCD
-191.23
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Where Yum China (YUMC) stands on P/B ratio within its Consumer Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Valuation Metrics

Yum China (YUMC) metric values compared with Consumer Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: YUMCIndustry group median
P/E Ratio (TTM)17.3421.88
P/S Ratio (TTM)1.321.54
P/B Ratio (MRQ)3.192.37
Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM)-2.30%4.54%