Yum China (YUMC) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Yum China (YUMC): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Consumer Services peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | YUMC |
|---|---|
| Name | Yum China Holdings, Inc. |
| Country/Region | China |
| GICS Sector | Consumer Discretionary |
| GICS Industry Group | Consumer Services |
| GICS Industry | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| Market Capitalization | 16.79 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | October 17, 2016 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 17.02% | 2.96% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 6.80% | 9.94% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | -0.60% | 1.66% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 25.40% | 42.89% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.01 | 1.05 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -53.84% | -59.81% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 0.50 | -0.04 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 0.77 | -0.08 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Yum China (YUMC) posts ROE of 17.35%, roughly around the peer group’s normal range. Shareholders’ equity is producing a return that looks broadly typical for the industry.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
17.35%
Group distribution
- Max
- 76.75%
- Q3
- 34.07%
- YUMC
- 17.35%
- Median
- 15.90%
- Q1
- 3.23%
- Min
- -40.61%
Largest peers
- RCL
- 41.29%
- ABNB
- 35.79%
- YUMC
- 17.35%
- MCD
- --
- SBUX
- --
- BKNG
- --
- MAR
- --
Net Margin (TTM)
Yum China (YUMC) keeps 7.90% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
7.90%
Group distribution
- Max
- 25.52%
- Q3
- 12.95%
- YUMC
- 7.90%
- Median
- 6.63%
- Q1
- 1.46%
- Min
- -14.36%
Largest peers
- MAR
- 35.00%
- MCD
- 32.38%
- BKNG
- 25.52%
- RCL
- 23.79%
- ABNB
- 23.02%
- YUMC
- 7.90%
- SBUX
- 6.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Yum China (YUMC) turns 13.09% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
13.09%
Group distribution
- Max
- 49.05%
- Q3
- 24.35%
- Median
- 14.23%
- YUMC
- 13.09%
- Q1
- 5.67%
- Min
- -16.47%
Largest peers
- MAR
- 66.18%
- MCD
- 48.29%
- ABNB
- 41.51%
- BKNG
- 38.69%
- RCL
- 33.61%
- YUMC
- 13.09%
- SBUX
- 12.76%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 17.35% | 15.90% |
| ROA (TTM) | 7.81% | 5.29% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 7.90% | 6.63% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 13.09% | 14.23% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 20.45% | 44.51% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Yum China (YUMC) grew revenue 4.37%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Yum China (YUMC) grew earnings per share 7.73%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 4.37% | 6.55% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 7.23% | 10.51% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 7.73% | 10.50% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | 34.14% | 14.33% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Yum China (YUMC) has current ratio of 0.67, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
0.67
Group distribution
- Max
- 3.41
- Q3
- 1.85
- Median
- 1.06
- Q1
- 0.72
- YUMC
- 0.67
- Min
- 0.22
Largest peers
- ABNB
- 1.73
- BKNG
- 1.12
- SBUX
- 0.76
- YUMC
- 0.67
- MAR
- 0.53
- RCL
- 0.22
- MCD
- --
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Yum China (YUMC) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
0.54
Group distribution
- Max
- 6.12
- Q3
- 2.93
- Median
- 1.29
- YUMC
- 0.54
- Q1
- 0.37
- Min
- 0.01
Largest peers
- RCL
- 1.94
- YUMC
- 0.54
- ABNB
- 0.27
- MCD
- --
- SBUX
- --
- BKNG
- --
- MAR
- --
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.54 | 1.29 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 0.85 | 3.12 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Yum China (YUMC) has dividend yield of 2.23%, in the upper peer-yield quartile while still inside the industry range. The dividend offers more cash income per dollar of share price than most peers, though payout coverage still matters.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
2.23%
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.10%
- YUMC
- 2.23%
- Q3
- 1.82%
- Median
- 0.00%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- MCD
- 2.68%
- SBUX
- 2.35%
- YUMC
- 2.23%
- RCL
- 1.70%
- BKNG
- 0.98%
- MAR
- 0.67%
- ABNB
- 0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Yum China (YUMC) has payout ratio of 38.54%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
38.54%
Group distribution
- Max
- 89.80%
- YUMC
- 38.54%
- Q3
- 36.83%
- Median
- 0.00%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- SBUX
- 142.77%
- MCD
- 58.86%
- YUMC
- 38.54%
- RCL
- 32.54%
- MAR
- 27.92%
- BKNG
- 17.84%
- ABNB
- 0.00%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.23% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 38.54% | 0.00% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Yum China (YUMC) trades at P/E ratio of 17.34, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
17.34
Group distribution
- Max
- 71.70
- Q3
- 37.12
- Median
- 21.88
- YUMC
- 17.34
- Q1
- 13.00
- Min
- 5.72
Largest peers
- SBUX
- 47.70
- MAR
- 41.52
- ABNB
- 35.65
- MCD
- 21.88
- RCL
- 19.36
- BKNG
- 17.43
- YUMC
- 17.34
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Yum China (YUMC) trades at 1.32 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
1.32
Group distribution
- Max
- 6.40
- Q3
- 3.01
- Median
- 1.54
- YUMC
- 1.32
- Q1
- 0.74
- Min
- 0.08
Largest peers
- MAR
- 14.15
- ABNB
- 8.14
- MCD
- 7.02
- RCL
- 4.57
- BKNG
- 4.25
- SBUX
- 3.17
- YUMC
- 1.32
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Yum China (YUMC) trades at 3.19 on P/B ratio, roughly in line with the industry’s normal price-to-book range. Its balance sheet is not being priced at a clear discount or premium versus peers.
YUMC
Consumer Services industry group
3.19
Group distribution
- Max
- 12.02
- Q3
- 5.58
- YUMC
- 3.19
- Median
- 2.37
- Q1
- 1.09
- Min
- -4.51
Largest peers
- ABNB
- 12.02
- RCL
- 7.47
- YUMC
- 3.19
- BKNG
- -11.52
- SBUX
- -15.67
- MAR
- -21.17
- MCD
- -191.23
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: YUMC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 17.34 | 21.88 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 3.19 | 2.37 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | -2.30% | 4.54% |