Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Phillips 66 (PSX): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Energy peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | PSX |
|---|---|
| Name | Phillips 66 |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Energy |
| GICS Industry Group | Energy |
| GICS Industry | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Market Capitalization | 95.85 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | April 12, 2012 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 88.91% | 32.08% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 36.18% | 14.39% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 30.83% | 15.43% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 33.42% | 41.29% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -44.37% | -52.09% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 2.53 | 0.67 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 3.93 | 1.01 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Phillips 66 (PSX) posts ROE of 39.84%, in the upper peer quartile. That suggests the company earns more from each dollar of shareholders’ equity than most industry peers, a useful capital-efficiency signal.
PSX
Energy industry group
39.84%
Group distribution
- Max
- 53.85%
- PSX
- 39.84%
- Q3
- 24.79%
- Median
- 12.85%
- Q1
- 2.03%
- Min
- -29.09%
Largest peers
- PSX
- 39.84%
- PBR
- 30.27%
- TTE
- 17.83%
- COP
- 17.66%
- SHEL
- 17.43%
- XOM
- 15.53%
- CVX
- 13.85%
Net Margin (TTM)
Phillips 66 (PSX) keeps 7.48% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
PSX
Energy industry group
7.48%
Group distribution
- Max
- 56.92%
- Q3
- 22.92%
- Median
- 10.10%
- PSX
- 7.48%
- Q1
- 0.07%
- Min
- -27.38%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 24.32%
- COP
- 16.76%
- CVX
- 11.92%
- XOM
- 10.46%
- TTE
- 10.46%
- SHEL
- 10.18%
- PSX
- 7.48%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Phillips 66 (PSX) turns 13.17% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
PSX
Energy industry group
13.17%
Group distribution
- Max
- 71.31%
- Q3
- 33.75%
- Median
- 18.73%
- PSX
- 13.17%
- Q1
- 6.94%
- Min
- -24.52%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 44.68%
- COP
- 30.05%
- TTE
- 24.51%
- SHEL
- 18.76%
- CVX
- 17.89%
- XOM
- 16.98%
- PSX
- 13.17%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 39.84% | 12.85% |
| ROA (TTM) | 10.64% | 5.49% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 7.48% | 10.10% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 13.17% | 18.73% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 15.08% | 44.52% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Phillips 66 (PSX) grew revenue -7.53%, in the lower peer quartile. The top line is expanding more slowly than at most peers, which can reflect softer demand, lost share, or weaker pricing.
EPS Growth
Phillips 66 (PSX) grew earnings per share 116.23%, in the upper peer quartile. Per-share profits are compounding faster than at most industry peers.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -7.53% | 0.51% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | -8.00% | 0.37% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 116.23% | -11.75% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | -22.60% | -12.07% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Phillips 66 (PSX) has current ratio of 1.34, in the healthier middle range for its industry. The short-term asset cushion looks balanced relative to peers rather than stretched thin.
PSX
Energy industry group
1.34
Group distribution
- Max
- 3.64
- Q3
- 2.21
- Median
- 1.41
- PSX
- 1.34
- Q1
- 0.88
- Min
- 0.24
Largest peers
- COP
- 1.52
- SHEL
- 1.38
- PSX
- 1.34
- CVX
- 1.34
- XOM
- 1.19
- TTE
- 1.11
- PBR
- 0.85
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Phillips 66 (PSX) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
PSX
Energy industry group
0.52
Group distribution
- Max
- 1.75
- Q3
- 0.93
- Median
- 0.54
- PSX
- 0.52
- Q1
- 0.30
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- PBR
- 0.76
- PSX
- 0.52
- TTE
- 0.46
- SHEL
- 0.38
- COP
- 0.35
- CVX
- 0.17
- XOM
- 0.13
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.34 | 1.41 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 0.82 | 1.13 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Phillips 66 (PSX) has dividend yield of 2.03%, in the industry’s normal income range. It provides a meaningful dividend without the red flag of an unusually high headline yield.
PSX
Energy industry group
2.03%
Group distribution
- Max
- 8.57%
- Q3
- 3.58%
- PSX
- 2.03%
- Median
- 1.71%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 19.51%
- TTE
- 4.58%
- CVX
- 3.31%
- XOM
- 2.49%
- COP
- 2.48%
- PSX
- 2.03%
- SHEL
- 1.54%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Phillips 66 (PSX) has payout ratio of 16.07%, within the industry’s typical payout band. The dividend shares profits with investors while leaving earnings coverage that looks normal for the peer group.
PSX
Energy industry group
16.07%
Group distribution
- Max
- 133.24%
- Q3
- 53.31%
- Median
- 25.24%
- PSX
- 16.07%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- CVX
- 51.76%
- XOM
- 42.39%
- TTE
- 39.93%
- COP
- 35.41%
- PBR
- 28.93%
- SHEL
- 26.24%
- PSX
- 16.07%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.03% | 1.71% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 16.07% | 25.24% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at P/E ratio of 7.88, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
PSX
Energy industry group
7.88
Group distribution
- Max
- 39.54
- Q3
- 21.72
- Median
- 12.19
- PSX
- 7.88
- Q1
- 7.71
- Min
- 2.99
Largest peers
- XOM
- 17.06
- CVX
- 15.61
- COP
- 14.36
- TTE
- 8.76
- SHEL
- 8.60
- PSX
- 7.88
- PBR
- 4.68
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at 0.57 on P/S ratio, in the lower sales-valuation quartile for its industry. That points to a cheaper revenue stream than most peers, with margin quality still doing the heavy lifting.
PSX
Energy industry group
0.57
Group distribution
- Max
- 5.40
- Q3
- 2.85
- Median
- 1.69
- Q1
- 0.88
- PSX
- 0.57
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- COP
- 2.34
- CVX
- 1.83
- XOM
- 1.74
- TTE
- 0.90
- SHEL
- 0.87
- PSX
- 0.57
- PBR
- 0.22
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Phillips 66 (PSX) trades at 2.79 on P/B ratio, in the higher book-value quartile. The market is paying a premium to book, so stronger ROE, cleaner assets, or a better growth profile need to justify it.
PSX
Energy industry group
2.79
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.21
- PSX
- 2.79
- Q3
- 2.38
- Median
- 1.51
- Q1
- 1.08
- Min
- 0.01
Largest peers
- PSX
- 2.79
- XOM
- 2.55
- COP
- 2.44
- CVX
- 2.13
- TTE
- 1.46
- SHEL
- 1.43
- PBR
- 1.25
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PSX | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 7.88 | 12.19 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 0.57 | 1.69 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 2.79 | 1.51 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 9.93% | 5.94% |