Progressive (PGR) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Progressive (PGR): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Insurance peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | PGR |
|---|---|
| Name | Progressive Corporation |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Financials |
| GICS Industry Group | Insurance |
| GICS Industry | Insurance |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Property & Casualty Insurance |
| Market Capitalization | 119.71 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | March 17, 1980 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | -10.55% | 19.00% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 21.89% | 18.51% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 19.61% | 11.89% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 25.51% | 27.81% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.27 | 0.52 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -30.35% | -37.87% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | -0.57 | 0.49 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | -0.75 | 0.77 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Progressive (PGR) posts ROE of 34.94%, in the upper peer quartile. That suggests the company earns more from each dollar of shareholders’ equity than most industry peers, a useful capital-efficiency signal.
PGR
Insurance industry group
34.94%
Group distribution
- Max
- 38.88%
- PGR
- 34.94%
- Q3
- 22.63%
- Median
- 14.77%
- Q1
- 9.95%
- Min
- -6.23%
Largest peers
- AON
- 46.45%
- ALL
- 45.22%
- PGR
- 34.94%
- MRSH
- 27.57%
- TRV
- 26.51%
- CB
- 15.43%
- MFC
- 12.56%
Net Margin (TTM)
Progressive (PGR) keeps 12.85% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
PGR
Insurance industry group
12.85%
Group distribution
- Max
- 38.86%
- Q3
- 19.36%
- PGR
- 12.85%
- Median
- 11.21%
- Q1
- 5.05%
- Min
- -2.80%
Largest peers
- AON
- 22.54%
- MFC
- 20.04%
- CB
- 18.53%
- ALL
- 17.81%
- TRV
- 16.95%
- MRSH
- 14.26%
- PGR
- 12.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)
operating margin is set aside for Progressive (PGR) in Insurance: the operating-income line is not a clean boundary for this business model, so net margin, ROE, FFO, or industry-specific measures may be more useful.
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 34.94% | 14.77% |
| ROA (TTM) | 7.84% | 2.80% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 12.85% | 11.21% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -- | -- |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | -- | -- |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Progressive (PGR) grew revenue 16.32%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Progressive (PGR) grew earnings per share 33.54%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 16.32% | 8.15% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 20.90% | 11.40% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 33.54% | 21.77% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | 153.53% | 18.46% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
current ratio is set aside for Progressive (PGR) in Insurance: these balance sheets are not best read through a current/non-current split, so regulatory, funding, or liquidity-coverage measures usually matter more.
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
debt-to-equity ratio is set aside for Progressive (PGR) in Insurance: leverage is part of the business model itself, so capital adequacy, funding mix, and regulatory measures are usually better risk gauges.
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | -- | -- |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | -- | -- |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | -- | -- |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Progressive (PGR) has dividend yield of 0.09%, in the industry’s normal income range. It provides a meaningful dividend without the red flag of an unusually high headline yield.
PGR
Insurance industry group
0.09%
Group distribution
- Max
- 5.19%
- Q3
- 2.46%
- Median
- 1.13%
- PGR
- 0.09%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- MFC
- 4.25%
- ALL
- 1.61%
- TRV
- 1.23%
- CB
- 1.10%
- AON
- 0.82%
- PGR
- 0.09%
- MRSH
- 0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Progressive (PGR) has payout ratio of 69.74%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
PGR
Insurance industry group
69.74%
Group distribution
- Max
- 86.52%
- PGR
- 69.74%
- Q3
- 35.84%
- Median
- 15.02%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- PGR
- 69.74%
- MFC
- 52.02%
- MRSH
- 43.94%
- AON
- 16.36%
- CB
- 13.72%
- TRV
- 12.23%
- ALL
- 9.03%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 0.09% | 1.13% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 69.74% | 15.02% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Progressive (PGR) trades at P/E ratio of 10.65, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
PGR
Insurance industry group
10.65
Group distribution
- Max
- 30.58
- Q3
- 17.84
- Median
- 13.24
- PGR
- 10.65
- Q1
- 9.20
- Min
- 3.32
Largest peers
- MRSH
- 22.78
- AON
- 19.92
- MFC
- 17.41
- CB
- 12.47
- PGR
- 10.65
- TRV
- 9.90
- ALL
- 5.62
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Progressive (PGR) trades at 1.32 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.
PGR
Insurance industry group
1.32
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.61
- Q3
- 2.41
- PGR
- 1.32
- Median
- 1.30
- Q1
- 0.91
- Min
- 0.10
Largest peers
- AON
- 4.39
- MRSH
- 3.15
- CB
- 2.26
- MFC
- 2.23
- TRV
- 1.57
- PGR
- 1.32
- ALL
- 0.95
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Progressive (PGR) trades at 3.49 on P/B ratio, in the higher book-value quartile. The market is paying a premium to book, so stronger ROE, cleaner assets, or a better growth profile need to justify it.
PGR
Insurance industry group
3.49
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.80
- PGR
- 3.49
- Q3
- 2.68
- Median
- 1.83
- Q1
- 1.26
- Min
- -0.14
Largest peers
- AON
- 7.81
- MRSH
- 6.01
- PGR
- 3.49
- TRV
- 2.33
- ALL
- 2.19
- MFC
- 2.05
- CB
- 1.87
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PGR | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 10.65 | 13.24 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 3.49 | 1.83 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | -- | -- |