Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Canadian National Railway (CNI): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Transportation peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | CNI |
|---|---|
| Name | Canadian National Railway Company |
| Country/Region | Canada |
| GICS Sector | Industrials |
| GICS Industry Group | Transportation |
| GICS Industry | Ground Transportation |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Rail Transportation |
| Market Capitalization | 77.10 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | November 26, 1996 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 30.04% | 42.28% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 4.47% | 10.91% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 6.11% | 10.49% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 21.98% | 39.94% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.96 | 1.14 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -29.13% | -52.03% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 1.69 | 1.53 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) posts ROE of 21.85%, in the upper peer quartile. That suggests the company earns more from each dollar of shareholders’ equity than most industry peers, a useful capital-efficiency signal.
CNI
Transportation industry group
21.85%
Group distribution
- Max
- 43.37%
- CNI
- 21.85%
- Q3
- 19.94%
- Median
- 10.23%
- Q1
- 1.86%
- Min
- -18.53%
Largest peers
- UNP
- 40.69%
- UBER
- 35.31%
- UPS
- 33.35%
- CSX
- 23.68%
- CNI
- 21.85%
- FDX
- 14.85%
- CP
- 8.43%
Net Margin (TTM)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) keeps 27.23% of revenue as net profit, putting net margin in the upper peer quartile. After operating costs, interest, and taxes, more of each sales dollar reaches shareholders than it does at most industry peers.
CNI
Transportation industry group
27.23%
Group distribution
- Max
- 43.82%
- CNI
- 27.23%
- Q3
- 18.75%
- Median
- 5.20%
- Q1
- 0.62%
- Min
- -9.62%
Largest peers
- UNP
- 29.20%
- CNI
- 27.23%
- CP
- 27.21%
- CSX
- 21.55%
- UBER
- 15.91%
- UPS
- 5.94%
- FDX
- 4.68%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) turns 38.41% of revenue into operating profit, putting operating margin in the upper peer quartile. Before financing and taxes enter the picture, the day-to-day business keeps more of each sales dollar than most industry peers.
CNI
Transportation industry group
38.41%
Group distribution
- Max
- 54.53%
- CNI
- 38.41%
- Q3
- 24.38%
- Median
- 7.26%
- Q1
- 1.31%
- Min
- -33.27%
Largest peers
- UNP
- 40.36%
- CNI
- 38.41%
- CP
- 37.56%
- CSX
- 36.16%
- UBER
- 14.57%
- FDX
- 11.13%
- UPS
- 6.33%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 21.85% | 10.23% |
| ROA (TTM) | 7.56% | 3.47% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 27.23% | 5.20% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 38.41% | 7.26% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 56.66% | 27.62% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Canadian National Railway (CNI) grew revenue 1.51%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Canadian National Railway (CNI) grew earnings per share 7.99%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 1.51% | 2.11% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 0.38% | 1.62% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 7.99% | -6.71% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | 0.58% | -7.47% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) has current ratio of 0.67, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.
CNI
Transportation industry group
0.67
Group distribution
- Max
- 2.26
- Q3
- 1.59
- Median
- 1.12
- Q1
- 0.78
- CNI
- 0.67
- Min
- 0.30
Largest peers
- FDX
- 1.48
- UPS
- 1.21
- UBER
- 1.07
- CSX
- 0.97
- UNP
- 0.92
- CP
- 0.67
- CNI
- 0.67
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) has debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
CNI
Transportation industry group
1.06
Group distribution
- Max
- 3.37
- Q3
- 1.62
- CNI
- 1.06
- Median
- 0.84
- Q1
- 0.36
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- UPS
- 1.82
- UNP
- 1.62
- CSX
- 1.43
- FDX
- 1.36
- CNI
- 1.06
- CP
- 0.51
- UBER
- 0.48
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 0.67 | 1.12 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 2.45 | 2.41 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) has dividend yield of 2.82%, in the upper peer-yield quartile while still inside the industry range. The dividend offers more cash income per dollar of share price than most peers, though payout coverage still matters.
CNI
Transportation industry group
2.82%
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.23%
- CNI
- 2.82%
- Q3
- 1.79%
- Median
- 0.55%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- UPS
- 5.80%
- CNI
- 2.82%
- UNP
- 1.85%
- CSX
- 1.06%
- CP
- 1.00%
- UBER
- 0.00%
- FDX
- 0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) has payout ratio of 47.13%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
CNI
Transportation industry group
47.13%
Group distribution
- Max
- 106.15%
- CNI
- 47.13%
- Q3
- 44.94%
- Median
- 20.02%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- UPS
- 106.15%
- CNI
- 47.13%
- UNP
- 45.10%
- CSX
- 32.52%
- FDX
- 31.27%
- CP
- 20.36%
- UBER
- 0.00%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.82% | 0.55% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 47.13% | 20.02% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) trades at P/E ratio of 23.71, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
CNI
Transportation industry group
23.71
Group distribution
- Max
- 94.71
- Q3
- 46.51
- CNI
- 23.71
- Median
- 23.58
- Q1
- 14.12
- Min
- 1.16
Largest peers
- CSX
- 30.80
- CP
- 29.03
- UNP
- 24.39
- CNI
- 23.71
- UPS
- 18.32
- UBER
- 17.93
- FDX
- 16.50
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) trades at 4.46 on P/S ratio, in the higher sales-valuation quartile. Investors are paying up for each dollar of revenue, so stronger margins, growth, or revenue quality need to carry that price.
CNI
Transportation industry group
4.46
Group distribution
- CNI
- 4.46
- Max
- 4.46
- Q3
- 2.30
- Median
- 1.35
- Q1
- 0.62
- Min
- 0.07
Largest peers
- UNP
- 7.05
- CSX
- 6.55
- CP
- 5.40
- CNI
- 4.46
- UBER
- 2.71
- UPS
- 1.12
- FDX
- 0.79
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Canadian National Railway (CNI) trades at 5.06 on P/B ratio, in the higher book-value quartile. The market is paying a premium to book, so stronger ROE, cleaner assets, or a better growth profile need to justify it.
CNI
Transportation industry group
5.06
Group distribution
- Max
- 9.10
- CNI
- 5.06
- Q3
- 4.59
- Median
- 2.21
- Q1
- 1.23
- Min
- -2.48
Largest peers
- UNP
- 8.96
- CSX
- 6.83
- UPS
- 6.09
- UBER
- 5.89
- CNI
- 5.06
- CP
- 2.46
- FDX
- 2.40
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: CNI | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 23.71 | 23.58 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 4.46 | 1.35 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 5.06 | 2.21 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 3.37% | 2.46% |