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XPO (XPO) Stock Analysis

This is a peer-relative look at XPO (XPO): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Transportation peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.

Company Profile

Company profile fields for XPO (XPO)
Profile ItemXPO
NameXPO, Inc.
Country/RegionUnited States
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS Industry GroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
GICS Sub-IndustryCargo Ground Transportation
Market Capitalization20.62 billion USD
CurrencyUSD
ExchangeNYSE
Listing DateOctober 7, 2003
Security TypeCommon Stock

Price Performance

Cumulative Growth

XPO
GSPC
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XPO (XPO) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Growth of a $10,000 investment over the past five years. Adjusted for dividends and splits.

Trailing Returns

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Trailing total returns for XPO (XPO) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Returns over one year are annualized.

Calendar-Year Returns

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Calendar-year total returns for XPO (XPO) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is that year's total return, measured year-end to year-end.

Performance Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
Total Return (1Y)32.98%22.71%
Total Return (3Y, Annualized)32.39%14.66%
Total Return (5Y, Annualized)32.42%3.98%

Risk Profile

Drawdown History

XPO
GSPC
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XPO (XPO) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Drawdown from the running peak over the past five years. Each line shows the decline from its prior peak; 0% marks a new high.

Return Distribution

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Distribution of monthly total returns for XPO (XPO) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is the share of months whose return fell in that 5% bucket.

Risk Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
Volatility (1Y, Annualized)41.59%40.42%
Beta (5Y)1.881.15
Max Drawdown (5Y)-46.99%-52.44%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Return Positioning

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Each dot is a stock plotted by 1-year volatility (risk) and 1-year return. XPO is highlighted; the dashed line is the Capital Allocation Line from the risk-free rate through the industry median — dots above it are stronger on a risk-adjusted basis.

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)0.690.46
Sortino Ratio (1Y)1.050.70

Profitability

ROE (TTM)

XPO (XPO) posts ROE of 26.54%, in the upper peer quartile. That suggests the company earns more from each dollar of shareholders’ equity than most industry peers, a useful capital-efficiency signal.

XPO

Transportation industry group

26.54%

Group distribution
Max
45.08%
XPO
26.54%
Q3
22.02%
Median
13.94%
Q1
2.89%
Min
-10.45%
Largest peers
UNP
38.75%
UPS
28.65%
XPO
26.54%
CSX
26.39%
CNI
22.45%
UBER
12.33%
CP
8.27%
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on ROE within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Net Margin (TTM)

XPO (XPO) keeps 5.69% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.

XPO

Transportation industry group

5.69%

Group distribution
Max
50.36%
Q3
21.18%
XPO
5.69%
Median
5.58%
Q1
1.55%
Min
-11.37%
Largest peers
UNP
28.90%
CNI
26.42%
CP
24.14%
CSX
23.97%
UBER
6.13%
XPO
5.69%
UPS
4.84%
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on net margin within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Operating Margin (TTM)

XPO (XPO) turns 12.60% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.

XPO

Transportation industry group

12.60%

Group distribution
Max
59.18%
Q3
29.30%
XPO
12.60%
Median
11.50%
Q1
4.62%
Min
-8.91%
Largest peers
CNI
41.52%
UNP
41.34%
CSX
39.26%
CP
38.56%
XPO
12.60%
UBER
9.80%
UPS
9.28%
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on operating margin within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Profitability Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
ROE (TTM)26.54%13.94%
ROA (TTM)7.12%4.95%
Net Margin (TTM)5.69%5.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.60%11.50%
Gross Margin (TTM)19.30%27.25%

Growth

Revenue Growth

XPO (XPO) grew revenue 1.05%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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XPO (XPO): Revenue Growth across different time periods, set against Transportation industry-group medians.

EPS Growth

XPO (XPO) grew earnings per share -18.27%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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XPO (XPO): EPS Growth across different time periods, set against Transportation industry-group medians.

Growth Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
Revenue Growth (YoY)1.05%2.80%
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR)1.86%1.66%
EPS Growth (YoY)-18.27%-10.61%
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR)-22.90%-7.47%

Financial Strength

Current Ratio (MRQ)

XPO (XPO) has current ratio of 0.99, in the healthier middle range for its industry. The short-term asset cushion looks balanced relative to peers rather than stretched thin.

XPO

Transportation industry group

0.99

Group distribution
Max
2.58
Q3
1.62
Median
1.16
XPO
0.99
Q1
0.78
Min
0.22
Largest peers
UPS
1.24
UBER
1.23
UNP
1.16
XPO
0.99
CSX
0.84
CNI
0.82
CP
0.52
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on current ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Debt / Equity (MRQ)

XPO (XPO) has debt-to-equity ratio of 2.01, in the higher-leverage quartile for its industry. The heavier reliance on borrowing can make earnings, rates, or refinancing conditions matter more.

XPO

Transportation industry group

2.01

Group distribution
Max
2.75
XPO
2.01
Q3
1.37
Median
0.78
Q1
0.35
Min
0.00
Largest peers
UPS
2.03
XPO
2.01
UNP
1.41
CSX
1.35
CNI
1.09
UBER
0.61
CP
0.55
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on debt-to-equity ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Financial Strength Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
Current Ratio (MRQ)0.991.16
Debt / Equity (MRQ)2.010.78
Net Debt / EBITDA2.532.00

Dividends

Dividend Yield (TTM)

XPO (XPO) pays no dividend, leaving dividend yield at 0.00% this period. Shareholders may still receive value through reinvestment or buybacks, but there is no dividend income to compare here.

XPO

Transportation industry group

0.00%

Group distribution
Max
4.68%
Q3
1.99%
Median
0.74%
XPO
0.00%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
UPS
5.91%
CNI
2.87%
UNP
1.87%
CSX
1.08%
CP
1.06%
XPO
0.00%
UBER
0.00%
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on dividend yield within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)

XPO (XPO) paid no earnings out as dividends this period, leaving payout ratio at 0.00%. There is no dividend payout to size against earnings.

XPO

Transportation industry group

0.00%

Group distribution
Max
100.89%
Q3
41.68%
Median
20.43%
XPO
0.00%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
UPS
126.40%
CNI
45.63%
UNP
43.37%
CSX
28.65%
CP
22.91%
XPO
0.00%
UBER
0.00%
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on payout ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%0.74%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)0.00%20.43%

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

XPO (XPO) trades at P/E ratio of 41.64, in the richer earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. That premium needs support from growth, durable earnings, or stronger business quality.

XPO

Transportation industry group

41.64

Group distribution
Max
46.76
XPO
41.64
Q3
30.87
Median
20.58
Q1
10.44
Min
0.00
Largest peers
XPO
41.64
UBER
40.35
CP
29.54
CSX
25.58
UNP
22.63
CNI
21.61
UPS
20.87
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on P/E ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/S Ratio (TTM)

XPO (XPO) trades at 2.33 on P/S ratio, in the higher sales-valuation quartile. Investors are paying up for each dollar of revenue, so stronger margins, growth, or revenue quality need to carry that price.

XPO

Transportation industry group

2.33

Group distribution
Max
4.35
XPO
2.33
Q3
2.07
Median
0.93
Q1
0.53
Min
0.04
Largest peers
UNP
6.54
CSX
6.09
CP
5.01
CNI
4.05
UBER
2.48
XPO
2.33
UPS
1.01
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on P/S ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/B Ratio (MRQ)

XPO (XPO) trades at 10.45 on P/B ratio, above the industry benchmark range. Investors are putting an unusually rich price on each dollar of book equity relative to peers.

XPO

Transportation industry group

10.45

Group distribution
XPO
10.45
Max
6.29
Q3
3.39
Median
1.90
Q1
1.03
Min
-2.07
Largest peers
XPO
10.45
UNP
7.83
CSX
6.29
UPS
6.15
UBER
5.06
CNI
4.77
CP
2.46
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Where XPO (XPO) stands on P/B ratio within its Transportation peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Valuation Metrics

XPO (XPO) metric values compared with Transportation industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: XPOIndustry group median
P/E Ratio (TTM)41.6420.58
P/S Ratio (TTM)2.330.93
P/B Ratio (MRQ)10.451.90
Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM)2.71%3.36%