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Vistra (VST) Stock Analysis

This is a peer-relative look at Vistra (VST): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Utilities peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.

Company Profile

Company profile fields for Vistra (VST)
Profile ItemVST
NameVistra Corp.
Country/RegionUnited States
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS Industry GroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
GICS Sub-IndustryIndependent Power Producers & Energy Traders
Market Capitalization42.31 billion USD
CurrencyUSD
ExchangeNYSE
Listing DateOctober 5, 2016
Security TypeCommon Stock

Price Performance

Cumulative Growth

VST
GSPC
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Vistra (VST) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Growth of a $10,000 investment over the past five years. Adjusted for dividends and splits.

Trailing Returns

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Trailing total returns for Vistra (VST) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Returns over one year are annualized.

Calendar-Year Returns

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Calendar-year total returns for Vistra (VST) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is that year's total return, measured year-end to year-end.

Performance Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
Total Return (1Y)-30.09%5.85%
Total Return (3Y, Annualized)57.95%15.48%
Total Return (5Y, Annualized)49.55%8.14%

Risk Profile

Drawdown History

VST
GSPC
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Vistra (VST) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Drawdown from the running peak over the past five years. Each line shows the decline from its prior peak; 0% marks a new high.

Return Distribution

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Distribution of monthly total returns for Vistra (VST) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is the share of months whose return fell in that 5% bucket.

Risk Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
Volatility (1Y, Annualized)53.39%22.23%
Beta (5Y)1.380.53
Max Drawdown (5Y)-48.80%-36.85%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Return Positioning

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Each dot is a stock plotted by 1-year volatility (risk) and 1-year return. VST is highlighted; the dashed line is the Capital Allocation Line from the risk-free rate through the industry median — dots above it are stronger on a risk-adjusted basis.

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)-0.640.08
Sortino Ratio (1Y)-0.860.12

Profitability

ROE (TTM)

No usable ROE is available for Vistra (VST) this period, so the shareholder-equity return read is skipped.

VST

Utilities industry group

--

Group distribution
Max
17.99%
Q3
12.01%
Median
9.44%
Q1
7.56%
Min
2.17%
VST
--
Largest peers
CEG
15.06%
NEE
14.06%
SO
11.90%
AEP
10.60%
NGG
10.31%
DUK
10.10%
VST
--
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Vistra (VST) doesn’t report ROE this period; the box shows the Utilities group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Net Margin (TTM)

Vistra (VST) keeps 13.15% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.

VST

Utilities industry group

13.15%

Group distribution
Max
28.78%
Q3
17.30%
VST
13.15%
Median
12.73%
Q1
9.18%
Min
-0.20%
Largest peers
NEE
40.37%
NGG
21.15%
DUK
16.16%
SO
16.00%
AEP
14.21%
VST
13.15%
CEG
11.08%
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on net margin within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Operating Margin (TTM)

Vistra (VST) turns 31.12% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.

VST

Utilities industry group

31.12%

Group distribution
Max
53.83%
Q3
31.12%
VST
31.12%
Median
23.62%
Q1
15.45%
Min
-4.90%
Largest peers
SO
36.92%
NEE
33.00%
VST
31.12%
DUK
30.03%
NGG
28.64%
AEP
26.89%
CEG
8.66%
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on operating margin within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Profitability Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
ROE (TTM)--9.44%
ROA (TTM)--3.08%
Net Margin (TTM)13.15%12.73%
Operating Margin (TTM)31.12%23.62%
Gross Margin (TTM)41.52%44.03%

Growth

Revenue Growth

Vistra (VST) grew revenue 2.98%, in the lower peer quartile. The top line is expanding more slowly than at most peers, which can reflect softer demand, lost share, or weaker pricing.

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Vistra (VST): Revenue Growth across different time periods, set against Utilities industry-group medians.

EPS Growth

Vistra (VST) grew earnings per share -69.98%, below the industry benchmark range. Per-share profits are trailing virtually every peer, which can point to margin pressure, one-off charges, or dilution.

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Vistra (VST): EPS Growth across different time periods, set against Utilities industry-group medians.

Growth Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
Revenue Growth (YoY)2.98%8.45%
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR)8.92%3.87%
EPS Growth (YoY)-69.98%3.93%
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR)--5.25%

Financial Strength

Current Ratio (MRQ)

No usable current ratio is available for Vistra (VST) this period, so the short-term liquidity read is skipped.

VST

Utilities industry group

--

Group distribution
Max
1.90
Q3
1.17
Median
0.88
Q1
0.66
Min
0.29
VST
--
Largest peers
CEG
1.46
SO
0.84
DUK
0.68
NGG
0.62
NEE
0.53
AEP
0.51
VST
--
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Vistra (VST) doesn’t report current ratio this period; the box shows the Utilities group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Debt / Equity (MRQ)

Vistra (VST) has debt-to-equity ratio of 3.73, above the industry benchmark range. Debt sits unusually high against shareholders’ equity, leaving the balance sheet more exposed to rate, refinancing, or earnings shocks.

VST

Utilities industry group

3.73

Group distribution
VST
3.73
Max
2.63
Q3
1.77
Median
1.35
Q1
0.84
Min
0.00
Largest peers
VST
3.73
SO
1.68
DUK
1.63
AEP
1.62
NEE
1.53
NGG
1.32
CEG
0.76
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on debt-to-equity ratio within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Financial Strength Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
Current Ratio (MRQ)--0.88
Debt / Equity (MRQ)3.731.35
Net Debt / EBITDA--5.31

Dividends

Dividend Yield (TTM)

Vistra (VST) has dividend yield of 0.20%, in the lower peer-yield quartile. Dividend income is lighter than at most industry peers, which may reflect a greater tilt toward reinvestment, buybacks, or growth.

VST

Utilities industry group

0.20%

Group distribution
Max
6.66%
Q3
3.58%
Median
2.85%
Q1
0.66%
VST
0.20%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
DUK
3.29%
SO
3.21%
AEP
3.00%
NEE
2.76%
CEG
0.68%
NGG
0.57%
VST
0.20%
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on dividend yield within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)

Vistra (VST) has payout ratio of 15.35%, below the peer payout band. More earnings are being kept inside the business, but that is a dividend-policy choice rather than a coverage advantage on its own.

VST

Utilities industry group

15.35%

Group distribution
Max
113.04%
Q3
68.72%
Median
56.38%
Q1
32.38%
VST
15.35%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
NGG
71.97%
SO
68.49%
DUK
62.76%
AEP
62.09%
NEE
43.89%
CEG
15.92%
VST
15.35%
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on payout ratio within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.20%2.85%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)15.35%56.38%

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

Vistra (VST) trades at P/E ratio of 16.80, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.

VST

Utilities industry group

16.80

Group distribution
Max
31.22
Q3
23.30
Median
19.64
VST
16.80
Q1
15.17
Min
3.34
Largest peers
CEG
24.43
SO
21.08
AEP
20.67
DUK
18.74
VST
16.80
NEE
15.67
NGG
15.54
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on P/E ratio within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/S Ratio (TTM)

Vistra (VST) trades at 2.05 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.

VST

Utilities industry group

2.05

Group distribution
Max
6.35
Q3
3.63
Median
2.63
VST
2.05
Q1
1.52
Min
0.00
Largest peers
NEE
6.33
NGG
4.46
SO
3.45
DUK
2.99
AEP
2.92
CEG
2.83
VST
2.05
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on P/S ratio within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/B Ratio (MRQ)

Vistra (VST) trades at 16.10 on P/B ratio, above the industry benchmark range. Investors are putting an unusually rich price on each dollar of book equity relative to peers.

VST

Utilities industry group

16.10

Group distribution
VST
16.10
Max
3.12
Q3
2.21
Median
1.83
Q1
1.46
Min
0.34
Largest peers
VST
16.10
NGG
9.36
NEE
2.97
CEG
2.78
SO
2.56
AEP
2.10
DUK
1.83
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Where Vistra (VST) stands on P/B ratio within its Utilities peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Valuation Metrics

Vistra (VST) metric values compared with Utilities industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: VSTIndustry group median
P/E Ratio (TTM)16.8019.64
P/S Ratio (TTM)2.052.63
P/B Ratio (MRQ)16.101.83
Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM)---7.11%