Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Valero Energy (VLO): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Energy peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | VLO |
|---|---|
| Name | Valero Energy Corporation |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Energy |
| GICS Industry Group | Energy |
| GICS Industry | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Market Capitalization | 96.62 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | January 4, 1982 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 107.71% | 32.08% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 47.89% | 14.39% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 39.74% | 15.43% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 39.31% | 41.29% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -41.22% | -52.09% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 2.63 | 0.67 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 4.08 | 1.01 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Valero Energy (VLO) posts ROE of 46.87%, in the upper peer quartile. That suggests the company earns more from each dollar of shareholders’ equity than most industry peers, a useful capital-efficiency signal.
VLO
Energy industry group
46.87%
Group distribution
- Max
- 53.85%
- VLO
- 46.87%
- Q3
- 24.79%
- Median
- 12.85%
- Q1
- 2.03%
- Min
- -29.09%
Largest peers
- VLO
- 46.87%
- PBR
- 30.27%
- TTE
- 17.83%
- COP
- 17.66%
- SHEL
- 17.43%
- XOM
- 15.53%
- CVX
- 13.85%
Net Margin (TTM)
Valero Energy (VLO) keeps 8.83% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
VLO
Energy industry group
8.83%
Group distribution
- Max
- 56.92%
- Q3
- 22.92%
- Median
- 10.10%
- VLO
- 8.83%
- Q1
- 0.07%
- Min
- -27.38%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 24.32%
- COP
- 16.76%
- CVX
- 11.92%
- XOM
- 10.46%
- TTE
- 10.46%
- SHEL
- 10.18%
- VLO
- 8.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Valero Energy (VLO) turns 20.47% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
VLO
Energy industry group
20.47%
Group distribution
- Max
- 71.31%
- Q3
- 33.75%
- VLO
- 20.47%
- Median
- 18.73%
- Q1
- 6.94%
- Min
- -24.52%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 44.68%
- COP
- 30.05%
- TTE
- 24.51%
- VLO
- 20.47%
- SHEL
- 18.76%
- CVX
- 17.89%
- XOM
- 16.98%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 46.87% | 12.85% |
| ROA (TTM) | 17.68% | 5.49% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 8.83% | 10.10% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 20.47% | 18.73% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 19.52% | 44.52% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Valero Energy (VLO) grew revenue -5.54%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Valero Energy (VLO) grew earnings per share -11.77%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -5.54% | 0.51% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | -11.40% | 0.37% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | -11.77% | -11.75% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | -36.12% | -12.07% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Valero Energy (VLO) has current ratio of 1.72, in the healthier middle range for its industry. The short-term asset cushion looks balanced relative to peers rather than stretched thin.
VLO
Energy industry group
1.72
Group distribution
- Max
- 3.64
- Q3
- 2.21
- VLO
- 1.72
- Median
- 1.41
- Q1
- 0.88
- Min
- 0.24
Largest peers
- VLO
- 1.72
- COP
- 1.52
- SHEL
- 1.38
- CVX
- 1.34
- XOM
- 1.19
- TTE
- 1.11
- PBR
- 0.85
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Valero Energy (VLO) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
VLO
Energy industry group
0.35
Group distribution
- Max
- 1.75
- Q3
- 0.93
- Median
- 0.54
- VLO
- 0.35
- Q1
- 0.30
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- PBR
- 0.76
- TTE
- 0.46
- SHEL
- 0.38
- VLO
- 0.35
- COP
- 0.35
- CVX
- 0.17
- XOM
- 0.13
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.72 | 1.41 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.35 | 0.54 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 0.06 | 1.13 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Valero Energy (VLO) has dividend yield of 1.35%, in the industry’s normal income range. It provides a meaningful dividend without the red flag of an unusually high headline yield.
VLO
Energy industry group
1.35%
Group distribution
- Max
- 8.57%
- Q3
- 3.58%
- Median
- 1.71%
- VLO
- 1.35%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 19.51%
- TTE
- 4.58%
- CVX
- 3.31%
- XOM
- 2.49%
- COP
- 2.48%
- SHEL
- 1.54%
- VLO
- 1.35%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Valero Energy (VLO) has payout ratio of 10.76%, within the industry’s typical payout band. The dividend shares profits with investors while leaving earnings coverage that looks normal for the peer group.
VLO
Energy industry group
10.76%
Group distribution
- Max
- 133.24%
- Q3
- 53.31%
- Median
- 25.24%
- VLO
- 10.76%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- CVX
- 51.76%
- XOM
- 42.39%
- TTE
- 39.93%
- COP
- 35.41%
- PBR
- 28.93%
- SHEL
- 26.24%
- VLO
- 10.76%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 1.35% | 1.71% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 10.76% | 25.24% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Valero Energy (VLO) trades at P/E ratio of 7.88, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
VLO
Energy industry group
7.88
Group distribution
- Max
- 39.54
- Q3
- 21.72
- Median
- 12.19
- VLO
- 7.88
- Q1
- 7.71
- Min
- 2.99
Largest peers
- XOM
- 17.06
- CVX
- 15.61
- COP
- 14.36
- TTE
- 8.76
- SHEL
- 8.60
- VLO
- 7.88
- PBR
- 4.68
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Valero Energy (VLO) trades at 0.66 on P/S ratio, in the lower sales-valuation quartile for its industry. That points to a cheaper revenue stream than most peers, with margin quality still doing the heavy lifting.
VLO
Energy industry group
0.66
Group distribution
- Max
- 5.40
- Q3
- 2.85
- Median
- 1.69
- Q1
- 0.88
- VLO
- 0.66
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- COP
- 2.34
- CVX
- 1.83
- XOM
- 1.74
- TTE
- 0.90
- SHEL
- 0.87
- VLO
- 0.66
- PBR
- 0.22
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Valero Energy (VLO) trades at 3.45 on P/B ratio, in the higher book-value quartile. The market is paying a premium to book, so stronger ROE, cleaner assets, or a better growth profile need to justify it.
VLO
Energy industry group
3.45
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.21
- VLO
- 3.45
- Q3
- 2.38
- Median
- 1.51
- Q1
- 1.08
- Min
- 0.01
Largest peers
- VLO
- 3.45
- XOM
- 2.55
- COP
- 2.44
- CVX
- 2.13
- TTE
- 1.46
- SHEL
- 1.43
- PBR
- 1.25
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: VLO | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 7.88 | 12.19 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 0.66 | 1.69 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 3.45 | 1.51 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 13.02% | 5.94% |