Northrop Grumman (NOC) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Northrop Grumman (NOC): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Capital Goods peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | NOC |
|---|---|
| Name | Northrop Grumman Corporation |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Industrials |
| GICS Industry Group | Capital Goods |
| GICS Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Capitalization | 72.43 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | December 31, 1981 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | -6.59% | 7.86% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 8.20% | 15.33% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 10.60% | 10.92% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 27.16% | 44.10% |
| Beta (5Y) | -0.13 | 1.21 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -35.13% | -49.28% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | -0.41 | 0.10 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | -0.57 | 0.15 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) posts ROE of 26.96%, in the upper peer quartile. That suggests the company earns more from each dollar of shareholders’ equity than most industry peers, a useful capital-efficiency signal.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
26.96%
Group distribution
- Max
- 40.35%
- NOC
- 26.96%
- Q3
- 18.69%
- Median
- 11.55%
- Q1
- 2.89%
- Min
- -19.86%
Largest peers
- BA
- 173.54%
- GEV
- 82.58%
- CAT
- 56.97%
- GE
- 48.23%
- NOC
- 26.96%
- DE
- 18.24%
- RTX
- 12.27%
Net Margin (TTM)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) keeps 10.48% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
10.48%
Group distribution
- Max
- 27.47%
- Q3
- 11.71%
- NOC
- 10.48%
- Median
- 5.78%
- Q1
- 0.77%
- Min
- -14.15%
Largest peers
- GEV
- 23.04%
- GE
- 17.72%
- CAT
- 14.51%
- NOC
- 10.48%
- DE
- 10.17%
- RTX
- 8.28%
- BA
- 2.59%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) turns 11.60% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
11.60%
Group distribution
- Max
- 35.46%
- Q3
- 17.39%
- NOC
- 11.60%
- Median
- 10.58%
- Q1
- 4.59%
- Min
- -12.63%
Largest peers
- CAT
- 22.18%
- GE
- 20.57%
- DE
- 17.48%
- RTX
- 12.70%
- NOC
- 11.60%
- GEV
- 7.47%
- BA
- 0.00%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 26.96% | 11.55% |
| ROA (TTM) | 7.15% | 5.06% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 10.48% | 5.78% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 11.60% | 10.58% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 20.06% | 29.56% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Northrop Grumman (NOC) grew revenue 2.24%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Northrop Grumman (NOC) grew earnings per share 2.61%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 2.24% | 8.23% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 4.65% | 6.36% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 2.61% | 4.97% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | -2.60% | 6.34% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) has current ratio of 1.17, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
1.17
Group distribution
- Max
- 5.28
- Q3
- 2.99
- Median
- 2.09
- Q1
- 1.45
- NOC
- 1.17
- Min
- 0.76
Largest peers
- DE
- 2.13
- CAT
- 1.37
- NOC
- 1.17
- BA
- 1.14
- RTX
- 1.01
- GE
- 0.98
- GEV
- 0.85
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
0.95
Group distribution
- Max
- 2.15
- Q3
- 1.09
- NOC
- 0.95
- Median
- 0.57
- Q1
- 0.27
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- BA
- 7.91
- DE
- 3.76
- CAT
- 2.33
- GE
- 1.13
- NOC
- 0.95
- RTX
- 0.57
- GEV
- 0.28
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.17 | 2.09 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.95 | 0.57 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 2.03 | 1.93 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) has dividend yield of 1.78%, in the upper peer-yield quartile while still inside the industry range. The dividend offers more cash income per dollar of share price than most peers, though payout coverage still matters.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
1.78%
Group distribution
- Max
- 2.75%
- NOC
- 1.78%
- Q3
- 1.11%
- Median
- 0.18%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- NOC
- 1.78%
- RTX
- 1.40%
- DE
- 0.96%
- CAT
- 0.77%
- GE
- 0.51%
- GEV
- 0.19%
- BA
- 0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) has payout ratio of 29.88%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
29.88%
Group distribution
- Max
- 72.00%
- NOC
- 29.88%
- Q3
- 28.86%
- Median
- 6.13%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- RTX
- 48.77%
- DE
- 36.02%
- NOC
- 29.88%
- CAT
- 26.01%
- GE
- 19.58%
- GEV
- 5.73%
- BA
- 0.00%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 1.78% | 0.18% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 29.88% | 6.13% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) trades at P/E ratio of 16.75, in the cheaper earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. Investors are paying less for each dollar of TTM earnings than they usually pay for comparable businesses.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
16.75
Group distribution
- Max
- 66.10
- Q3
- 40.43
- Median
- 29.30
- Q1
- 21.19
- NOC
- 16.75
- Min
- 1.09
Largest peers
- BA
- 75.70
- GE
- 38.17
- DE
- 37.60
- CAT
- 35.21
- RTX
- 34.86
- GEV
- 27.48
- NOC
- 16.75
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) trades at 1.69 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
1.69
Group distribution
- Max
- 9.06
- Q3
- 4.40
- Median
- 2.41
- NOC
- 1.69
- Q1
- 1.19
- Min
- 0.05
Largest peers
- GE
- 6.63
- GEV
- 6.16
- CAT
- 5.04
- DE
- 3.80
- RTX
- 2.85
- BA
- 1.77
- NOC
- 1.69
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Northrop Grumman (NOC) trades at 4.05 on P/B ratio, roughly in line with the industry’s normal price-to-book range. Its balance sheet is not being priced at a clear discount or premium versus peers.
NOC
Capital Goods industry group
4.05
Group distribution
- Max
- 11.10
- Q3
- 5.63
- NOC
- 4.05
- Median
- 3.31
- Q1
- 1.94
- Min
- -3.52
Largest peers
- BA
- 27.27
- GEV
- 21.32
- CAT
- 19.40
- GE
- 19.04
- DE
- 6.51
- NOC
- 4.05
- RTX
- 4.01
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: NOC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 16.75 | 29.30 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 1.69 | 2.41 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 4.05 | 3.31 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 3.42% | 2.67% |