Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | KDP |
|---|---|
| Name | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Consumer Staples |
| GICS Industry Group | Food, Beverage & Tobacco |
| GICS Industry | Beverages |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages |
| Market Capitalization | 49.85 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | Nasdaq |
| Listing Date | May 7, 2008 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 46.21% | 9.07% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 9.12% | 2.06% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 3.26% | 1.14% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 26.92% | 32.65% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -31.20% | -51.71% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 1.56 | 0.14 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 2.46 | 0.20 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) posts ROE of 6.01%, roughly around the peer group’s normal range. Shareholders’ equity is producing a return that looks broadly typical for the industry.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
6.01%
Group distribution
- Max
- 32.02%
- Q3
- 16.61%
- Median
- 10.05%
- KDP
- 6.01%
- Q1
- 4.10%
- Min
- -10.50%
Largest peers
- PEP
- 52.19%
- KO
- 40.59%
- BTI
- 13.42%
- KDP
- 6.01%
- PM
- --
- BUD
- --
- MO
- --
Net Margin (TTM)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) keeps 7.12% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
7.12%
Group distribution
- Max
- 24.83%
- Q3
- 11.22%
- KDP
- 7.12%
- Median
- 5.94%
- Q1
- 2.05%
- Min
- -11.49%
Largest peers
- MO
- 39.33%
- KO
- 28.65%
- BTI
- 24.99%
- PM
- 24.83%
- BUD
- 15.42%
- PEP
- 11.09%
- KDP
- 7.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) turns 18.82% of revenue into operating profit, putting operating margin in the upper peer quartile. Before financing and taxes enter the picture, the day-to-day business keeps more of each sales dollar than most industry peers.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
18.82%
Group distribution
- Max
- 34.91%
- KDP
- 18.82%
- Q3
- 17.57%
- Median
- 11.06%
- Q1
- 4.15%
- Min
- -15.06%
Largest peers
- MO
- 61.48%
- PM
- 41.94%
- BTI
- 34.91%
- KO
- 33.36%
- BUD
- 27.48%
- KDP
- 18.82%
- PEP
- 16.88%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 6.01% | 10.05% |
| ROA (TTM) | 3.62% | 5.25% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 7.12% | 5.94% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 18.82% | 11.06% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 49.58% | 34.26% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) grew revenue 8.16%, in the upper peer quartile. The top line is expanding faster than at most industry peers, which points to share gains or stronger pricing.
EPS Growth
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) grew earnings per share 45.71%, in the upper peer quartile. Per-share profits are compounding faster than at most industry peers.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 8.16% | 2.38% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 5.71% | 2.51% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 45.71% | -2.47% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | 14.85% | 4.29% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has current ratio of 0.52, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
0.52
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.01
- Q3
- 2.35
- Median
- 1.53
- Q1
- 1.02
- KDP
- 0.52
- Min
- 0.33
Largest peers
- KO
- 1.38
- PM
- 1.02
- PEP
- 0.94
- BTI
- 0.84
- MO
- 0.58
- KDP
- 0.52
- BUD
- --
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
0.96
Group distribution
- Max
- 2.19
- Q3
- 1.11
- KDP
- 0.96
- Median
- 0.68
- Q1
- 0.33
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- PEP
- 2.31
- KO
- 1.07
- KDP
- 0.96
- BTI
- 0.72
- BUD
- 0.72
- PM
- --
- MO
- --
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 0.52 | 1.53 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.96 | 0.68 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 6.01 | 2.57 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has dividend yield of 2.49%, in the industry’s normal income range. It provides a meaningful dividend without the red flag of an unusually high headline yield.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
2.49%
Group distribution
- Max
- 9.38%
- Q3
- 3.77%
- KDP
- 2.49%
- Median
- 1.76%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- MO
- 5.53%
- PEP
- 4.07%
- BTI
- 3.88%
- PM
- 2.98%
- KDP
- 2.49%
- KO
- 2.19%
- BUD
- 1.91%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has payout ratio of 92.93%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
92.93%
Group distribution
- Max
- 199.19%
- KDP
- 92.93%
- Q3
- 81.03%
- Median
- 41.52%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- KDP
- 92.93%
- MO
- 88.45%
- PM
- 87.74%
- BTI
- 83.97%
- PEP
- 73.02%
- KO
- 61.95%
- BUD
- 27.35%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.49% | 1.76% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 92.93% | 41.52% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) trades at P/E ratio of 33.00, in the richer earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. That premium needs support from growth, durable earnings, or stronger business quality.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
33.00
Group distribution
- Max
- 52.52
- KDP
- 33.00
- Q3
- 30.78
- Median
- 18.76
- Q1
- 12.77
- Min
- 4.72
Largest peers
- KDP
- 33.00
- PM
- 28.89
- KO
- 28.22
- PEP
- 17.78
- BUD
- 17.07
- MO
- 15.69
- BTI
- 15.61
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) trades at 2.16 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
2.16
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.64
- Q3
- 2.27
- KDP
- 2.16
- Median
- 1.17
- Q1
- 0.52
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- KO
- 8.06
- PM
- 7.15
- MO
- 6.14
- BTI
- 5.08
- BUD
- 2.58
- KDP
- 2.16
- PEP
- 1.96
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) trades at 1.96 on P/B ratio, roughly in line with the industry’s normal price-to-book range. Its balance sheet is not being priced at a clear discount or premium versus peers.
KDP
Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group
1.96
Group distribution
- Max
- 6.35
- Q3
- 3.07
- KDP
- 1.96
- Median
- 1.58
- Q1
- 0.82
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- KO
- 11.01
- BUD
- 10.60
- BTI
- 10.59
- PEP
- 8.65
- KDP
- 1.96
- PM
- -38.86
- MO
- -56.93
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: KDP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 33.00 | 18.76 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 2.16 | 1.17 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 1.96 | 1.58 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 9.52% | 4.66% |