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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Analysis

This is a peer-relative look at Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.

Company Profile

Company profile fields for Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)
Profile ItemKDP
NameKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Country/RegionUnited States
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS Industry GroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
GICS Sub-IndustrySoft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Market Capitalization49.85 billion USD
CurrencyUSD
ExchangeNasdaq
Listing DateMay 7, 2008
Security TypeCommon Stock

Price Performance

Cumulative Growth

KDP
GSPC
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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Growth of a $10,000 investment over the past five years. Adjusted for dividends and splits.

Trailing Returns

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Trailing total returns for Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Returns over one year are annualized.

Calendar-Year Returns

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Calendar-year total returns for Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is that year's total return, measured year-end to year-end.

Performance Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
Total Return (1Y)46.21%9.07%
Total Return (3Y, Annualized)9.12%2.06%
Total Return (5Y, Annualized)3.26%1.14%

Risk Profile

Drawdown History

KDP
GSPC
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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Drawdown from the running peak over the past five years. Each line shows the decline from its prior peak; 0% marks a new high.

Return Distribution

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Distribution of monthly total returns for Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is the share of months whose return fell in that 5% bucket.

Risk Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
Volatility (1Y, Annualized)26.92%32.65%
Beta (5Y)0.340.43
Max Drawdown (5Y)-31.20%-51.71%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Return Positioning

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Each dot is a stock plotted by 1-year volatility (risk) and 1-year return. KDP is highlighted; the dashed line is the Capital Allocation Line from the risk-free rate through the industry median — dots above it are stronger on a risk-adjusted basis.

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)1.560.14
Sortino Ratio (1Y)2.460.20

Profitability

ROE (TTM)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) posts ROE of 6.01%, roughly around the peer group’s normal range. Shareholders’ equity is producing a return that looks broadly typical for the industry.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

6.01%

Group distribution
Max
32.02%
Q3
16.61%
Median
10.05%
KDP
6.01%
Q1
4.10%
Min
-10.50%
Largest peers
PEP
52.19%
KO
40.59%
BTI
13.42%
KDP
6.01%
PM
--
BUD
--
MO
--
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on ROE within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Net Margin (TTM)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) keeps 7.12% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

7.12%

Group distribution
Max
24.83%
Q3
11.22%
KDP
7.12%
Median
5.94%
Q1
2.05%
Min
-11.49%
Largest peers
MO
39.33%
KO
28.65%
BTI
24.99%
PM
24.83%
BUD
15.42%
PEP
11.09%
KDP
7.12%
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on net margin within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Operating Margin (TTM)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) turns 18.82% of revenue into operating profit, putting operating margin in the upper peer quartile. Before financing and taxes enter the picture, the day-to-day business keeps more of each sales dollar than most industry peers.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

18.82%

Group distribution
Max
34.91%
KDP
18.82%
Q3
17.57%
Median
11.06%
Q1
4.15%
Min
-15.06%
Largest peers
MO
61.48%
PM
41.94%
BTI
34.91%
KO
33.36%
BUD
27.48%
KDP
18.82%
PEP
16.88%
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on operating margin within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Profitability Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
ROE (TTM)6.01%10.05%
ROA (TTM)3.62%5.25%
Net Margin (TTM)7.12%5.94%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.82%11.06%
Gross Margin (TTM)49.58%34.26%

Growth

Revenue Growth

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) grew revenue 8.16%, in the upper peer quartile. The top line is expanding faster than at most industry peers, which points to share gains or stronger pricing.

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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP): Revenue Growth across different time periods, set against Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians.

EPS Growth

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) grew earnings per share 45.71%, in the upper peer quartile. Per-share profits are compounding faster than at most industry peers.

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Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP): EPS Growth across different time periods, set against Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians.

Growth Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
Revenue Growth (YoY)8.16%2.38%
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR)5.71%2.51%
EPS Growth (YoY)45.71%-2.47%
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR)14.85%4.29%

Financial Strength

Current Ratio (MRQ)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has current ratio of 0.52, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

0.52

Group distribution
Max
4.01
Q3
2.35
Median
1.53
Q1
1.02
KDP
0.52
Min
0.33
Largest peers
KO
1.38
PM
1.02
PEP
0.94
BTI
0.84
MO
0.58
KDP
0.52
BUD
--
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on current ratio within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Debt / Equity (MRQ)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

0.96

Group distribution
Max
2.19
Q3
1.11
KDP
0.96
Median
0.68
Q1
0.33
Min
0.00
Largest peers
PEP
2.31
KO
1.07
KDP
0.96
BTI
0.72
BUD
0.72
PM
--
MO
--
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on debt-to-equity ratio within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Financial Strength Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
Current Ratio (MRQ)0.521.53
Debt / Equity (MRQ)0.960.68
Net Debt / EBITDA6.012.57

Dividends

Dividend Yield (TTM)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has dividend yield of 2.49%, in the industry’s normal income range. It provides a meaningful dividend without the red flag of an unusually high headline yield.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

2.49%

Group distribution
Max
9.38%
Q3
3.77%
KDP
2.49%
Median
1.76%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
MO
5.53%
PEP
4.07%
BTI
3.88%
PM
2.98%
KDP
2.49%
KO
2.19%
BUD
1.91%
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on dividend yield within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) has payout ratio of 92.93%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

92.93%

Group distribution
Max
199.19%
KDP
92.93%
Q3
81.03%
Median
41.52%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
KDP
92.93%
MO
88.45%
PM
87.74%
BTI
83.97%
PEP
73.02%
KO
61.95%
BUD
27.35%
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on payout ratio within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.49%1.76%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)92.93%41.52%

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) trades at P/E ratio of 33.00, in the richer earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. That premium needs support from growth, durable earnings, or stronger business quality.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

33.00

Group distribution
Max
52.52
KDP
33.00
Q3
30.78
Median
18.76
Q1
12.77
Min
4.72
Largest peers
KDP
33.00
PM
28.89
KO
28.22
PEP
17.78
BUD
17.07
MO
15.69
BTI
15.61
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on P/E ratio within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/S Ratio (TTM)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) trades at 2.16 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

2.16

Group distribution
Max
4.64
Q3
2.27
KDP
2.16
Median
1.17
Q1
0.52
Min
0.00
Largest peers
KO
8.06
PM
7.15
MO
6.14
BTI
5.08
BUD
2.58
KDP
2.16
PEP
1.96
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on P/S ratio within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/B Ratio (MRQ)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) trades at 1.96 on P/B ratio, roughly in line with the industry’s normal price-to-book range. Its balance sheet is not being priced at a clear discount or premium versus peers.

KDP

Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry group

1.96

Group distribution
Max
6.35
Q3
3.07
KDP
1.96
Median
1.58
Q1
0.82
Min
0.00
Largest peers
KO
11.01
BUD
10.60
BTI
10.59
PEP
8.65
KDP
1.96
PM
-38.86
MO
-56.93
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Where Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) stands on P/B ratio within its Food, Beverage & Tobacco peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Valuation Metrics

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) metric values compared with Food, Beverage & Tobacco industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: KDPIndustry group median
P/E Ratio (TTM)33.0018.76
P/S Ratio (TTM)2.161.17
P/B Ratio (MRQ)1.961.58
Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM)9.52%4.66%