Warner Music (WMG) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Warner Music (WMG): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Media & Entertainment peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | WMG |
|---|---|
| Name | Warner Music Group Corp. |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Communication Services |
| GICS Industry Group | Media & Entertainment |
| GICS Industry | Entertainment |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Movies & Entertainment |
| Market Capitalization | 16.37 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | Nasdaq |
| Listing Date | June 3, 2020 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 6.98% | 8.37% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 1.34% | 9.50% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | -6.02% | -6.51% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 35.24% | 43.78% |
| Beta (5Y) | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -53.17% | -69.17% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Warner Music (WMG) posts ROE of 70.07%, above the industry benchmark range. Equity is being turned into profit at an exceptional rate, but very high ROE should still be checked against leverage, buybacks, and the size of the equity base.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
70.07%
Group distribution
- WMG
- 70.07%
- Max
- 49.92%
- Q3
- 17.95%
- Median
- 7.20%
- Q1
- -4.53%
- Min
- -26.31%
Largest peers
- WMG
- 70.07%
- NFLX
- 53.46%
- GOOGL
- 44.29%
- GOOG
- 44.29%
- SPOT
- 35.81%
- META
- 32.26%
- DIS
- 8.01%
Net Margin (TTM)
Warner Music (WMG) keeps 9.20% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
9.20%
Group distribution
- Max
- 32.91%
- Q3
- 11.75%
- WMG
- 9.20%
- Median
- 5.04%
- Q1
- -4.17%
- Min
- -25.14%
Largest peers
- GOOGL
- 50.03%
- GOOG
- 50.03%
- META
- 31.15%
- NFLX
- 29.69%
- SPOT
- 15.73%
- WMG
- 9.20%
- DIS
- 8.70%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Warner Music (WMG) turns 16.74% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
16.74%
Group distribution
- Max
- 40.16%
- Q3
- 18.72%
- WMG
- 16.74%
- Median
- 8.63%
- Q1
- 1.90%
- Min
- -22.08%
Largest peers
- META
- 35.41%
- NFLX
- 34.63%
- GOOGL
- 31.81%
- GOOG
- 31.81%
- DIS
- 19.30%
- WMG
- 16.74%
- SPOT
- 13.52%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 70.07% | 7.20% |
| ROA (TTM) | 7.65% | 3.36% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 9.20% | 5.04% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 16.74% | 8.63% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 45.77% | 50.97% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Warner Music (WMG) grew revenue 4.37%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Warner Music (WMG) grew earnings per share -16.87%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 4.37% | 4.57% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 4.25% | 5.19% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | -16.87% | 1.00% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | -13.33% | 25.23% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Warner Music (WMG) has current ratio of 0.73, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
0.73
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.69
- Q3
- 2.53
- Median
- 1.52
- Q1
- 0.95
- WMG
- 0.73
- Min
- 0.28
Largest peers
- GOOGL
- 2.79
- GOOG
- 2.79
- SPOT
- 2.13
- META
- 1.90
- NFLX
- 1.08
- WMG
- 0.73
- DIS
- 0.71
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Warner Music (WMG) has debt-to-equity ratio of 4.53, above the industry benchmark range. Debt sits unusually high against shareholders’ equity, leaving the balance sheet more exposed to rate, refinancing, or earnings shocks.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
4.53
Group distribution
- WMG
- 4.53
- Max
- 3.65
- Q3
- 1.69
- Median
- 0.46
- Q1
- 0.17
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- WMG
- 4.53
- NFLX
- 0.60
- META
- 0.42
- DIS
- 0.39
- GOOGL
- 0.22
- GOOG
- 0.22
- SPOT
- 0.05
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 0.73 | 1.52 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 4.53 | 0.46 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 2.57 | 1.29 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Warner Music (WMG) has dividend yield of 2.38%, above the entire industry range. That headline income is large, but yields this far above peers often come from a falling share price or an at-risk payout, so dividend safety matters more than the percentage itself.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
2.38%
Group distribution
- WMG
- 2.38%
- Max
- 1.33%
- Q3
- 0.65%
- Median
- 0.00%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- WMG
- 2.38%
- DIS
- 1.28%
- META
- 0.35%
- GOOG
- 0.31%
- GOOGL
- 0.30%
- NFLX
- 0.00%
- SPOT
- 0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Warner Music (WMG) has payout ratio of 60.80%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
60.80%
Group distribution
- Max
- 71.43%
- WMG
- 60.80%
- Q3
- 28.98%
- Median
- 0.00%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- WMG
- 60.80%
- DIS
- 30.93%
- META
- 7.16%
- GOOGL
- 4.49%
- GOOG
- 4.49%
- NFLX
- 0.00%
- SPOT
- 0.00%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.38% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 60.80% | 0.00% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Warner Music (WMG) trades at P/E ratio of 25.04, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
25.04
Group distribution
- Max
- 51.21
- Q3
- 28.90
- WMG
- 25.04
- Median
- 17.98
- Q1
- 11.53
- Min
- 1.64
Largest peers
- SPOT
- 36.75
- WMG
- 25.04
- DIS
- 24.07
- META
- 20.82
- NFLX
- 18.33
- GOOGL
- 14.87
- GOOG
- 14.83
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Warner Music (WMG) trades at 2.24 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
2.24
Group distribution
- Max
- 7.43
- Q3
- 3.82
- WMG
- 2.24
- Median
- 1.40
- Q1
- 0.70
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- GOOGL
- 7.43
- GOOG
- 7.41
- SPOT
- 6.59
- META
- 6.46
- NFLX
- 5.24
- WMG
- 2.24
- DIS
- 2.04
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Warner Music (WMG) trades at 19.17 on P/B ratio, above the industry benchmark range. Investors are putting an unusually rich price on each dollar of book equity relative to peers.
WMG
Media & Entertainment industry group
19.17
Group distribution
- WMG
- 19.17
- Max
- 11.45
- Q3
- 5.30
- Median
- 1.84
- Q1
- 0.77
- Min
- -2.61
Largest peers
- WMG
- 19.17
- SPOT
- 12.62
- NFLX
- 8.89
- META
- 5.73
- GOOGL
- 5.31
- GOOG
- 5.29
- DIS
- 1.84
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: WMG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 25.04 | 17.98 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 2.24 | 1.40 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 19.17 | 1.84 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 2.33% | 7.41% |