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Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Analysis

This is a peer-relative look at Toll Brothers (TOL): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Consumer Durables & Apparel peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.

Company Profile

Company profile fields for Toll Brothers (TOL)
Profile ItemTOL
NameToll Brothers, Inc.
Country/RegionUnited States
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS Industry GroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
GICS Sub-IndustryHomebuilding
Market Capitalization14.06 billion USD
CurrencyUSD
ExchangeNYSE
Listing DateJuly 8, 1986
Security TypeCommon Stock

Price Performance

Cumulative Growth

TOL
GSPC
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Toll Brothers (TOL) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Growth of a $10,000 investment over the past five years. Adjusted for dividends and splits.

Trailing Returns

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Trailing total returns for Toll Brothers (TOL) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Returns over one year are annualized.

Calendar-Year Returns

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Calendar-year total returns for Toll Brothers (TOL) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is that year's total return, measured year-end to year-end.

Performance Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
Total Return (1Y)18.07%13.13%
Total Return (3Y, Annualized)26.97%8.12%
Total Return (5Y, Annualized)20.91%-2.15%

Risk Profile

Drawdown History

TOL
GSPC
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Toll Brothers (TOL) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Drawdown from the running peak over the past five years. Each line shows the decline from its prior peak; 0% marks a new high.

Return Distribution

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Distribution of monthly total returns for Toll Brothers (TOL) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is the share of months whose return fell in that 5% bucket.

Risk Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
Volatility (1Y, Annualized)35.83%44.05%
Beta (5Y)1.271.26
Max Drawdown (5Y)-45.97%-60.99%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Return Positioning

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Each dot is a stock plotted by 1-year volatility (risk) and 1-year return. TOL is highlighted; the dashed line is the Capital Allocation Line from the risk-free rate through the industry median — dots above it are stronger on a risk-adjusted basis.

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)0.380.18
Sortino Ratio (1Y)0.650.25

Profitability

ROE (TTM)

Toll Brothers (TOL) posts ROE of 14.39%, roughly around the peer group’s normal range. Shareholders’ equity is producing a return that looks broadly typical for the industry.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

14.39%

Group distribution
Max
44.27%
Q3
22.94%
TOL
14.39%
Median
12.36%
Q1
5.76%
Min
-12.76%
Largest peers
TPR
433.81%
SN
30.34%
GRMN
22.38%
NKE
21.56%
SONY
15.05%
TOL
14.39%
DHI
12.12%
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on ROE within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Net Margin (TTM)

Toll Brothers (TOL) keeps 11.14% of revenue as net profit, putting net margin in the upper peer quartile. After operating costs, interest, and taxes, more of each sales dollar reaches shareholders than it does at most industry peers.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

11.14%

Group distribution
Max
19.00%
TOL
11.14%
Q3
9.42%
Median
5.93%
Q1
2.80%
Min
-7.09%
Largest peers
GRMN
25.58%
TPR
19.68%
SN
11.64%
TOL
11.14%
DHI
8.74%
NKE
6.74%
SONY
-1.03%
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on net margin within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Operating Margin (TTM)

Toll Brothers (TOL) turns 14.56% of revenue into operating profit, putting operating margin in the upper peer quartile. Before financing and taxes enter the picture, the day-to-day business keeps more of each sales dollar than most industry peers.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

14.56%

Group distribution
Max
28.97%
TOL
14.56%
Q3
14.34%
Median
8.77%
Q1
4.05%
Min
-7.88%
Largest peers
GRMN
30.80%
TPR
23.18%
SN
22.41%
SONY
18.81%
TOL
14.56%
DHI
11.57%
NKE
7.92%
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on operating margin within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Profitability Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
ROE (TTM)14.39%12.36%
ROA (TTM)6.90%4.73%
Net Margin (TTM)11.14%5.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.56%8.77%
Gross Margin (TTM)24.83%43.56%

Growth

Revenue Growth

Toll Brothers (TOL) grew revenue 1.11%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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Toll Brothers (TOL): Revenue Growth across different time periods, set against Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians.

EPS Growth

Toll Brothers (TOL) grew earnings per share -10.13%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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Toll Brothers (TOL): EPS Growth across different time periods, set against Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians.

Growth Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
Revenue Growth (YoY)1.11%0.85%
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR)2.19%-0.63%
EPS Growth (YoY)-10.13%-17.57%
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR)7.36%-4.41%

Financial Strength

Current Ratio (MRQ)

Toll Brothers (TOL) has current ratio of 4.50, above the industry’s typical middle range. Liquidity looks ample versus peers, though an unusually high cushion can also mean idle current assets or inefficient working capital.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

4.50

Group distribution
Max
5.48
TOL
4.50
Q3
3.70
Median
2.10
Q1
1.64
Min
0.75
Largest peers
TOL
4.50
DHI
4.30
GRMN
3.05
NKE
2.08
SN
2.04
SONY
1.25
TPR
1.24
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on current ratio within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Debt / Equity (MRQ)

Toll Brothers (TOL) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

0.34

Group distribution
Max
2.46
Q3
1.19
Median
0.45
TOL
0.34
Q1
0.23
Min
0.00
Largest peers
TPR
12.37
NKE
0.73
TOL
0.34
SN
0.29
DHI
0.26
SONY
0.23
GRMN
0.02
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on debt-to-equity ratio within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Financial Strength Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
Current Ratio (MRQ)4.502.10
Debt / Equity (MRQ)0.340.45
Net Debt / EBITDA1.101.56

Dividends

Dividend Yield (TTM)

Toll Brothers (TOL) has dividend yield of 0.66%, in the industry’s normal income range. It provides a meaningful dividend without the red flag of an unusually high headline yield.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

0.66%

Group distribution
Max
5.10%
Q3
2.20%
Median
0.77%
TOL
0.66%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
SONY
108.93%
NKE
4.15%
GRMN
1.47%
TPR
1.24%
DHI
1.14%
TOL
0.66%
SN
0.00%
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on dividend yield within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)

Toll Brothers (TOL) has payout ratio of 8.22%, within the industry’s typical payout band. The dividend shares profits with investors while leaving earnings coverage that looks normal for the peer group.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

8.22%

Group distribution
Max
96.30%
Q3
39.57%
Median
11.11%
TOL
8.22%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
NKE
78.85%
GRMN
37.46%
TPR
21.37%
DHI
16.68%
TOL
8.22%
SONY
5.66%
SN
0.00%
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on payout ratio within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.66%0.77%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)8.22%11.11%

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

Toll Brothers (TOL) trades at P/E ratio of 12.29, in the cheaper earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. Investors are paying less for each dollar of TTM earnings than they usually pay for comparable businesses.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

12.29

Group distribution
Max
40.20
Q3
25.33
Median
17.52
Q1
14.50
TOL
12.29
Min
5.29
Largest peers
SN
37.41
GRMN
27.43
SONY
20.15
NKE
18.55
TPR
17.07
DHI
15.06
TOL
12.29
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on P/E ratio within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/S Ratio (TTM)

Toll Brothers (TOL) trades at 1.31 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

1.31

Group distribution
Max
3.32
Q3
1.74
TOL
1.31
Median
1.02
Q1
0.56
Min
0.01
Largest peers
GRMN
6.98
SN
4.33
TPR
3.19
TOL
1.31
DHI
1.25
NKE
1.25
SONY
0.01
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on P/S ratio within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/B Ratio (MRQ)

Toll Brothers (TOL) trades at 1.65 on P/B ratio, roughly in line with the industry’s normal price-to-book range. Its balance sheet is not being priced at a clear discount or premium versus peers.

TOL

Consumer Durables & Apparel industry group

1.65

Group distribution
Max
8.35
Q3
4.28
Median
2.11
TOL
1.65
Q1
1.09
Min
0.49
Largest peers
TPR
76.37
SN
9.93
GRMN
5.76
NKE
3.76
SONY
2.92
DHI
1.79
TOL
1.65
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Where Toll Brothers (TOL) stands on P/B ratio within its Consumer Durables & Apparel peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Valuation Metrics

Toll Brothers (TOL) metric values compared with Consumer Durables & Apparel industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: TOLIndustry group median
P/E Ratio (TTM)12.2917.52
P/S Ratio (TTM)1.311.02
P/B Ratio (MRQ)1.652.11
Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM)3.97%5.35%