Smurfit Westrock (SW) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Smurfit Westrock (SW): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Materials peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | SW |
|---|---|
| Name | Smurfit WestRock Plc |
| Country/Region | Ireland |
| GICS Sector | Materials |
| GICS Industry Group | Materials |
| GICS Industry | Containers & Packaging |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials |
| Market Capitalization | 23.13 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | June 17, 2008 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 29.05% | 19.59% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 14.60% | 18.91% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | -0.16% | 5.70% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 42.69% | 52.82% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -53.49% | -58.44% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 0.58 | 0.32 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 0.94 | 0.47 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) posts ROE of 2.57%, roughly around the peer group’s normal range. Shareholders’ equity is producing a return that looks broadly typical for the industry.
SW
Materials industry group
2.57%
Group distribution
- Max
- 52.88%
- Q3
- 19.49%
- Median
- 8.76%
- SW
- 2.57%
- Q1
- -3.41%
- Min
- -32.81%
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 52.88%
- NEM
- 27.26%
- BHP
- 24.00%
- AEM
- 23.24%
- RIO
- 19.31%
- LIN
- 17.72%
- SW
- 2.57%
Net Margin (TTM)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) keeps 1.50% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
SW
Materials industry group
1.50%
Group distribution
- Max
- 38.66%
- Q3
- 15.98%
- Median
- 5.28%
- SW
- 1.50%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- -20.40%
Largest peers
- AEM
- 41.01%
- SCCO
- 37.16%
- NEM
- 34.73%
- RIO
- 19.59%
- LIN
- 19.34%
- BHP
- 16.73%
- SW
- 1.50%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) turns 6.38% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
SW
Materials industry group
6.38%
Group distribution
- Max
- 66.70%
- Q3
- 28.92%
- Median
- 12.56%
- SW
- 6.38%
- Q1
- 3.28%
- Min
- -14.07%
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 59.94%
- AEM
- 55.49%
- NEM
- 49.99%
- BHP
- 43.34%
- RIO
- 28.05%
- LIN
- 27.97%
- SW
- 6.38%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 2.57% | 8.76% |
| ROA (TTM) | 2.50% | 4.42% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 1.50% | 5.28% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 6.38% | 12.56% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 17.67% | 27.57% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Smurfit Westrock (SW) grew revenue 47.70%, in the upper peer quartile. The top line is expanding faster than at most industry peers, which points to share gains or stronger pricing.
EPS Growth
Smurfit Westrock (SW) grew earnings per share 62.20%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 47.70% | 8.36% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 32.15% | 0.59% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 62.20% | -1.73% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | -30.01% | 2.12% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) has current ratio of 1.48, in the healthier middle range for its industry. The short-term asset cushion looks balanced relative to peers rather than stretched thin.
SW
Materials industry group
1.48
Group distribution
- Max
- 5.96
- Q3
- 3.30
- Median
- 2.24
- SW
- 1.48
- Q1
- 1.45
- Min
- 0.16
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 4.31
- AEM
- 2.75
- NEM
- 2.45
- BHP
- 1.89
- SW
- 1.48
- RIO
- 1.42
- LIN
- 0.86
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
SW
Materials industry group
0.78
Group distribution
- Max
- 1.98
- Q3
- 0.89
- SW
- 0.78
- Median
- 0.47
- Q1
- 0.13
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- SW
- 0.78
- LIN
- 0.65
- SCCO
- 0.63
- BHP
- 0.50
- RIO
- 0.32
- NEM
- 0.16
- AEM
- 0.01
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.48 | 2.24 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.78 | 0.47 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 2.96 | 1.37 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) has dividend yield of 4.02%, in the upper peer-yield quartile while still inside the industry range. The dividend offers more cash income per dollar of share price than most peers, though payout coverage still matters.
SW
Materials industry group
4.02%
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.52%
- SW
- 4.02%
- Q3
- 1.85%
- Median
- 0.38%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- RIO
- 5.59%
- SW
- 4.02%
- SCCO
- 2.30%
- BHP
- 2.19%
- LIN
- 1.21%
- AEM
- 0.93%
- NEM
- 0.87%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) has payout ratio of 198.63%, meaning dividends exceeded current-period earnings. The gap would need to be covered by cash, retained earnings, financing, or other sources, so earnings alone do not support the payout.
SW
Materials industry group
198.63%
Group distribution
- SW
- 198.63%
- Max
- 83.62%
- Q3
- 41.37%
- Median
- 9.54%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- SW
- 198.63%
- BHP
- 68.84%
- RIO
- 54.46%
- SCCO
- 52.43%
- LIN
- 41.83%
- AEM
- 14.26%
- NEM
- 11.95%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 4.02% | 0.38% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 198.63% | 9.54% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) trades at P/E ratio of 48.99, in the richer earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. That premium needs support from growth, durable earnings, or stronger business quality.
SW
Materials industry group
48.99
Group distribution
- Max
- 59.00
- SW
- 48.99
- Q3
- 32.93
- Median
- 18.82
- Q1
- 11.96
- Min
- 3.93
Largest peers
- SW
- 48.99
- LIN
- 34.21
- SCCO
- 22.27
- BHP
- 20.70
- AEM
- 15.61
- NEM
- 14.03
- RIO
- 11.35
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) trades at 0.73 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.
SW
Materials industry group
0.73
Group distribution
- Max
- 9.62
- Q3
- 4.34
- Median
- 1.87
- SW
- 0.73
- Q1
- 0.73
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 8.34
- LIN
- 6.53
- AEM
- 6.44
- NEM
- 4.72
- BHP
- 3.46
- RIO
- 2.20
- SW
- 0.73
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Smurfit Westrock (SW) trades at 1.28 on P/B ratio, roughly in line with the industry’s normal price-to-book range. Its balance sheet is not being priced at a clear discount or premium versus peers.
SW
Materials industry group
1.28
Group distribution
- Max
- 6.59
- Q3
- 3.55
- Median
- 2.08
- SW
- 1.28
- Q1
- 1.26
- Min
- -0.17
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 10.89
- LIN
- 6.00
- BHP
- 3.98
- NEM
- 3.53
- AEM
- 3.27
- RIO
- 2.08
- SW
- 1.28
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: SW | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 48.99 | 18.82 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 0.73 | 1.87 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 1.28 | 2.08 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 4.26% | 3.08% |