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Shopify (SHOP) Stock Analysis

This is a peer-relative look at Shopify (SHOP): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Software & Services peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.

Company Profile

Company profile fields for Shopify (SHOP)
Profile ItemSHOP
NameShopify Inc.
Country/RegionCanada
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS Industry GroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
GICS Sub-IndustryInternet Services & Infrastructure
Market Capitalization232.57 billion USD
CurrencyUSD
ExchangeNasdaq
Listing DateMay 20, 2015
Security TypeCommon Stock

Price Performance

Cumulative Growth

SHOP
GSPC
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Shopify (SHOP) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Growth of a $10,000 investment over the past five years. Adjusted for dividends and splits.

Trailing Returns

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Trailing total returns for Shopify (SHOP) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Returns over one year are annualized.

Calendar-Year Returns

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Calendar-year total returns for Shopify (SHOP) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is that year's total return, measured year-end to year-end.

Performance Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
Total Return (1Y)16.04%-11.35%
Total Return (3Y, Annualized)51.23%10.93%
Total Return (5Y, Annualized)4.97%-6.75%

Risk Profile

Drawdown History

SHOP
GSPC
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Shopify (SHOP) vs. S&P 500 (GSPC): Drawdown from the running peak over the past five years. Each line shows the decline from its prior peak; 0% marks a new high.

Return Distribution

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Distribution of monthly total returns for Shopify (SHOP) and S&P 500 (GSPC). Each bar is the share of months whose return fell in that 5% bucket.

Risk Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
Volatility (1Y, Annualized)58.56%61.10%
Beta (5Y)2.681.14
Max Drawdown (5Y)-84.82%-76.51%

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Risk-Return Positioning

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Each dot is a stock plotted by 1-year volatility (risk) and 1-year return. SHOP is highlighted; the dashed line is the Capital Allocation Line from the risk-free rate through the industry median — dots above it are stronger on a risk-adjusted basis.

Risk-Adjusted Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)0.20-0.28
Sortino Ratio (1Y)0.29-0.40

Profitability

ROE (TTM)

Shopify (SHOP) posts ROE of 15.54%, roughly around the peer group’s normal range. Shareholders’ equity is producing a return that looks broadly typical for the industry.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

15.54%

Group distribution
Max
62.27%
Q3
18.32%
SHOP
15.54%
Median
5.48%
Q1
-13.62%
Min
-59.77%
Largest peers
ORCL
41.19%
PLTR
38.10%
MSFT
34.04%
SAP
18.32%
SHOP
15.54%
PANW
1.74%
CRWD
1.46%
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on ROE within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Net Margin (TTM)

Shopify (SHOP) keeps 14.53% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

14.53%

Group distribution
Max
41.43%
Q3
14.96%
SHOP
14.53%
Median
4.26%
Q1
-5.85%
Min
-30.95%
Largest peers
PLTR
49.01%
MSFT
40.31%
ORCL
26.36%
SAP
20.41%
SHOP
14.53%
PANW
2.67%
CRWD
0.83%
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on net margin within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Operating Margin (TTM)

Shopify (SHOP) turns 17.56% of revenue into operating profit, putting operating margin in the upper peer quartile. Before financing and taxes enter the picture, the day-to-day business keeps more of each sales dollar than most industry peers.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

17.56%

Group distribution
Max
47.12%
SHOP
17.56%
Q3
15.51%
Median
4.87%
Q1
-6.45%
Min
-39.13%
Largest peers
PLTR
47.12%
MSFT
45.11%
ORCL
35.63%
SAP
27.62%
SHOP
17.56%
PANW
5.40%
CRWD
-2.26%
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on operating margin within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Profitability Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
ROE (TTM)15.54%5.48%
ROA (TTM)10.19%2.06%
Net Margin (TTM)14.53%4.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.56%4.87%
Gross Margin (TTM)47.77%69.30%

Growth

Revenue Growth

Shopify (SHOP) grew revenue 30.14%, in the upper peer quartile. The top line is expanding faster than at most industry peers, which points to share gains or stronger pricing.

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Shopify (SHOP): Revenue Growth across different time periods, set against Software & Services industry-group medians.

EPS Growth

Shopify (SHOP) grew earnings per share -39.47%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.

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Shopify (SHOP): EPS Growth across different time periods, set against Software & Services industry-group medians.

Growth Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
Revenue Growth (YoY)30.14%14.62%
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR)27.31%13.63%
EPS Growth (YoY)-39.47%7.79%
EPS Growth (3Y CAGR)--18.25%

Financial Strength

Current Ratio (MRQ)

Shopify (SHOP) has current ratio of 5.35, above the industry’s typical middle range. Liquidity looks ample versus peers, though an unusually high cushion can also mean idle current assets or inefficient working capital.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

5.35

Group distribution
SHOP
5.35
Max
5.11
Q3
2.74
Median
1.63
Q1
1.02
Min
0.03
Largest peers
PLTR
7.23
SHOP
5.35
CRWD
1.57
MSFT
1.23
ORCL
1.17
SAP
1.15
PANW
0.87
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on current ratio within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Debt / Equity (MRQ)

Shopify (SHOP) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, in the lower-leverage quartile for its industry. Borrowing is modest relative to equity compared with most peers, which can leave more flexibility through a cycle.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

0.01

Group distribution
Max
2.52
Q3
1.10
Median
0.35
Q1
0.06
SHOP
0.01
Min
0.00
Largest peers
ORCL
2.52
MSFT
0.29
SAP
0.22
CRWD
0.16
PANW
0.09
PLTR
0.02
SHOP
0.01
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on debt-to-equity ratio within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Financial Strength Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
Current Ratio (MRQ)5.351.63
Debt / Equity (MRQ)0.010.35
Net Debt / EBITDA-1.990.01

Dividends

Dividend Yield (TTM)

Shopify (SHOP) pays no dividend, leaving dividend yield at 0.00% this period. Shareholders may still receive value through reinvestment or buybacks, but there is no dividend income to compare here.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

0.00%

Group distribution
SHOP
0.00%
Max
0.00%
Q3
0.00%
Median
0.00%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
ORCL
1.41%
SAP
1.16%
MSFT
0.68%
SHOP
0.00%
PLTR
0.00%
PANW
0.00%
CRWD
0.00%
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on dividend yield within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)

Shopify (SHOP) paid no earnings out as dividends this period, leaving payout ratio at 0.00%. There is no dividend payout to size against earnings.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

0.00%

Group distribution
SHOP
0.00%
Max
0.00%
Q3
0.00%
Median
0.00%
Q1
0.00%
Min
0.00%
Largest peers
SAP
37.70%
ORCL
31.35%
MSFT
19.83%
SHOP
0.00%
PLTR
0.00%
PANW
0.00%
CRWD
0.00%
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on payout ratio within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Dividend Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)0.00%0.00%

Valuation

P/E Ratio (TTM)

Shopify (SHOP) trades at P/E ratio of 121.09, in the richer earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. That premium needs support from growth, durable earnings, or stronger business quality.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

121.09

Group distribution
SHOP
121.09
Max
121.09
Q3
60.42
Median
31.84
Q1
17.70
Min
6.45
Largest peers
CRWD
5,260.20
PANW
1,009.57
PLTR
180.17
SHOP
121.09
MSFT
30.15
SAP
27.97
ORCL
21.53
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on P/E ratio within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/S Ratio (TTM)

Shopify (SHOP) trades at 17.53 on P/S ratio, in the higher sales-valuation quartile. Investors are paying up for each dollar of revenue, so stronger margins, growth, or revenue quality need to carry that price.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

17.53

Group distribution
Max
19.98
SHOP
17.53
Q3
9.41
Median
4.36
Q1
2.30
Min
0.02
Largest peers
PLTR
81.59
CRWD
49.91
PANW
28.77
SHOP
17.53
MSFT
12.11
SAP
6.58
ORCL
5.80
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on P/S ratio within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

P/B Ratio (MRQ)

Shopify (SHOP) trades at 18.22 on P/B ratio, in the higher book-value quartile. The market is paying a premium to book, so stronger ROE, cleaner assets, or a better growth profile need to justify it.

SHOP

Software & Services industry group

18.22

Group distribution
Max
19.30
SHOP
18.22
Q3
9.10
Median
4.43
Q1
1.98
Min
-3.90
Largest peers
SAP
70.66
CRWD
52.78
PLTR
51.38
SHOP
18.22
PANW
11.97
MSFT
9.09
ORCL
6.72
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Where Shopify (SHOP) stands on P/B ratio within its Software & Services peer group — the box is the group’s distribution and the dots its largest members.

Valuation Metrics

Shopify (SHOP) metric values compared with Software & Services industry-group medians
MetricCurrent stock: SHOPIndustry group median
P/E Ratio (TTM)121.0931.84
P/S Ratio (TTM)17.534.36
P/B Ratio (MRQ)18.224.43
Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM)0.68%3.63%