Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Packaging Corp of America (PKG): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Materials peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | PKG |
|---|---|
| Name | Packaging Corporation of America |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Materials |
| GICS Industry Group | Materials |
| GICS Industry | Containers & Packaging |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials |
| Market Capitalization | 22.25 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | January 28, 2000 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 31.07% | 19.59% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 21.13% | 18.91% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 17.23% | 5.70% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 28.35% | 52.82% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.76 | 0.97 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -31.78% | -58.44% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 0.95 | 0.32 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 1.49 | 0.47 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
No usable ROE is available for Packaging Corp of America (PKG) this period, so the shareholder-equity return read is skipped.
PKG
Materials industry group
--
Group distribution
- Max
- 52.88%
- Q3
- 19.49%
- Median
- 8.76%
- Q1
- -3.41%
- Min
- -32.81%
- PKG
- --
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 52.88%
- NEM
- 27.26%
- BHP
- 24.00%
- AEM
- 23.24%
- RIO
- 19.31%
- LIN
- 17.72%
- PKG
- --
Net Margin (TTM)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) keeps 7.40% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
PKG
Materials industry group
7.40%
Group distribution
- Max
- 38.66%
- Q3
- 15.98%
- PKG
- 7.40%
- Median
- 5.28%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- -20.40%
Largest peers
- AEM
- 41.01%
- SCCO
- 37.16%
- NEM
- 34.73%
- RIO
- 19.59%
- LIN
- 19.34%
- BHP
- 16.73%
- PKG
- 7.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) turns 14.97% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
PKG
Materials industry group
14.97%
Group distribution
- Max
- 66.70%
- Q3
- 28.92%
- PKG
- 14.97%
- Median
- 12.56%
- Q1
- 3.28%
- Min
- -14.07%
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 59.94%
- AEM
- 55.49%
- NEM
- 49.99%
- BHP
- 43.34%
- RIO
- 28.05%
- LIN
- 27.97%
- PKG
- 14.97%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | -- | 8.76% |
| ROA (TTM) | -- | 4.42% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 7.40% | 5.28% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 14.97% | 12.56% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 21.24% | 27.57% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) grew revenue 7.23%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) grew earnings per share -3.92%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.23% | 8.36% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 1.97% | 0.59% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | -3.92% | -1.73% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | -8.03% | 2.12% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
No usable current ratio is available for Packaging Corp of America (PKG) this period, so the short-term liquidity read is skipped.
PKG
Materials industry group
--
Group distribution
- Max
- 5.96
- Q3
- 3.30
- Median
- 2.24
- Q1
- 1.45
- Min
- 0.16
- PKG
- --
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 4.31
- AEM
- 2.75
- NEM
- 2.45
- BHP
- 1.89
- RIO
- 1.42
- LIN
- 0.86
- PKG
- --
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94, in the higher-leverage quartile for its industry. The heavier reliance on borrowing can make earnings, rates, or refinancing conditions matter more.
PKG
Materials industry group
0.94
Group distribution
- Max
- 1.98
- PKG
- 0.94
- Q3
- 0.89
- Median
- 0.47
- Q1
- 0.13
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- PKG
- 0.94
- LIN
- 0.65
- SCCO
- 0.63
- BHP
- 0.50
- RIO
- 0.32
- NEM
- 0.16
- AEM
- 0.01
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | -- | 2.24 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.94 | 0.47 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 1.92 | 1.37 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) has dividend yield of 2.21%, in the upper peer-yield quartile while still inside the industry range. The dividend offers more cash income per dollar of share price than most peers, though payout coverage still matters.
PKG
Materials industry group
2.21%
Group distribution
- Max
- 4.52%
- PKG
- 2.21%
- Q3
- 1.85%
- Median
- 0.38%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- RIO
- 5.59%
- SCCO
- 2.30%
- PKG
- 2.21%
- BHP
- 2.19%
- LIN
- 1.21%
- AEM
- 0.93%
- NEM
- 0.87%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) has payout ratio of 67.82%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
PKG
Materials industry group
67.82%
Group distribution
- Max
- 83.62%
- PKG
- 67.82%
- Q3
- 41.37%
- Median
- 9.54%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- BHP
- 68.84%
- PKG
- 67.82%
- RIO
- 54.46%
- SCCO
- 52.43%
- LIN
- 41.83%
- AEM
- 14.26%
- NEM
- 11.95%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.21% | 0.38% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 67.82% | 9.54% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) trades at P/E ratio of 30.79, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
PKG
Materials industry group
30.79
Group distribution
- Max
- 59.00
- Q3
- 32.93
- PKG
- 30.79
- Median
- 18.82
- Q1
- 11.96
- Min
- 3.93
Largest peers
- LIN
- 34.21
- PKG
- 30.79
- SCCO
- 22.27
- BHP
- 20.70
- AEM
- 15.61
- NEM
- 14.03
- RIO
- 11.35
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) trades at 2.26 on P/S ratio, roughly in the peer group’s normal range. The market is not making a strong cheap-or-rich statement about its revenue base.
PKG
Materials industry group
2.26
Group distribution
- Max
- 9.62
- Q3
- 4.34
- PKG
- 2.26
- Median
- 1.87
- Q1
- 0.73
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 8.34
- LIN
- 6.53
- AEM
- 6.44
- NEM
- 4.72
- BHP
- 3.46
- PKG
- 2.26
- RIO
- 2.20
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) trades at 4.74 on P/B ratio, in the higher book-value quartile. The market is paying a premium to book, so stronger ROE, cleaner assets, or a better growth profile need to justify it.
PKG
Materials industry group
4.74
Group distribution
- Max
- 6.59
- PKG
- 4.74
- Q3
- 3.55
- Median
- 2.08
- Q1
- 1.26
- Min
- -0.17
Largest peers
- SCCO
- 10.89
- LIN
- 6.00
- PKG
- 4.74
- BHP
- 3.98
- NEM
- 3.53
- AEM
- 3.27
- RIO
- 2.08
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: PKG | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 30.79 | 18.82 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 2.26 | 1.87 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 4.74 | 2.08 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | -- | 3.08% |