Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Marathon Petroleum (MPC): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Energy peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | MPC |
|---|---|
| Name | Marathon Petroleum Corp. |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Energy |
| GICS Industry Group | Energy |
| GICS Industry | Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Market Capitalization | 101.49 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | NYSE |
| Listing Date | June 24, 2011 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | 104.94% | 32.08% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 42.97% | 14.39% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 45.42% | 15.43% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 37.53% | 41.29% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -44.75% | -52.09% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | 2.68 | 0.67 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | 4.10 | 1.01 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) posts ROE of 60.46%, above the industry benchmark range. Equity is being turned into profit at an exceptional rate, but very high ROE should still be checked against leverage, buybacks, and the size of the equity base.
MPC
Energy industry group
60.46%
Group distribution
- MPC
- 60.46%
- Max
- 53.85%
- Q3
- 24.79%
- Median
- 12.85%
- Q1
- 2.03%
- Min
- -29.09%
Largest peers
- MPC
- 60.46%
- PBR
- 30.27%
- TTE
- 17.83%
- COP
- 17.66%
- SHEL
- 17.43%
- XOM
- 15.53%
- CVX
- 13.85%
Net Margin (TTM)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) keeps 8.34% of revenue as net profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal net margin range. Its full cost stack is taking a typical share of sales for the industry.
MPC
Energy industry group
8.34%
Group distribution
- Max
- 56.92%
- Q3
- 22.92%
- Median
- 10.10%
- MPC
- 8.34%
- Q1
- 0.07%
- Min
- -27.38%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 24.32%
- COP
- 16.76%
- CVX
- 11.92%
- XOM
- 10.46%
- TTE
- 10.46%
- SHEL
- 10.18%
- MPC
- 8.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) turns 17.98% of revenue into operating profit, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal operating margin range. Its core cost structure looks typical for the industry.
MPC
Energy industry group
17.98%
Group distribution
- Max
- 71.31%
- Q3
- 33.75%
- Median
- 18.73%
- MPC
- 17.98%
- Q1
- 6.94%
- Min
- -24.52%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 44.68%
- COP
- 30.05%
- TTE
- 24.51%
- SHEL
- 18.76%
- MPC
- 17.98%
- CVX
- 17.89%
- XOM
- 16.98%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 60.46% | 12.85% |
| ROA (TTM) | 13.75% | 5.49% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 8.34% | 10.10% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 17.98% | 18.73% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 16.20% | 44.52% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) grew revenue -4.44%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) grew earnings per share 31.15%, in the upper peer quartile. Per-share profits are compounding faster than at most industry peers.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -4.44% | 0.51% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | -9.23% | 0.37% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 31.15% | -11.75% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | -22.24% | -12.07% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has current ratio of 1.45, in the healthier middle range for its industry. The short-term asset cushion looks balanced relative to peers rather than stretched thin.
MPC
Energy industry group
1.45
Group distribution
- Max
- 3.64
- Q3
- 2.21
- MPC
- 1.45
- Median
- 1.41
- Q1
- 0.88
- Min
- 0.24
Largest peers
- COP
- 1.52
- MPC
- 1.45
- SHEL
- 1.38
- CVX
- 1.34
- XOM
- 1.19
- TTE
- 1.11
- PBR
- 0.85
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15, in the higher-leverage quartile for its industry. The heavier reliance on borrowing can make earnings, rates, or refinancing conditions matter more.
MPC
Energy industry group
1.15
Group distribution
- Max
- 1.75
- MPC
- 1.15
- Q3
- 0.93
- Median
- 0.54
- Q1
- 0.30
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- MPC
- 1.15
- PBR
- 0.76
- TTE
- 0.46
- SHEL
- 0.38
- COP
- 0.35
- CVX
- 0.17
- XOM
- 0.13
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 1.15 | 0.54 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 0.88 | 1.13 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has dividend yield of 1.09%, in the industry’s normal income range. It provides a meaningful dividend without the red flag of an unusually high headline yield.
MPC
Energy industry group
1.09%
Group distribution
- Max
- 8.57%
- Q3
- 3.58%
- Median
- 1.71%
- MPC
- 1.09%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- PBR
- 19.51%
- TTE
- 4.58%
- CVX
- 3.31%
- XOM
- 2.49%
- COP
- 2.48%
- SHEL
- 1.54%
- MPC
- 1.09%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has payout ratio of 7.93%, within the industry’s typical payout band. The dividend shares profits with investors while leaving earnings coverage that looks normal for the peer group.
MPC
Energy industry group
7.93%
Group distribution
- Max
- 133.24%
- Q3
- 53.31%
- Median
- 25.24%
- MPC
- 7.93%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- CVX
- 51.76%
- XOM
- 42.39%
- TTE
- 39.93%
- COP
- 35.41%
- PBR
- 28.93%
- SHEL
- 26.24%
- MPC
- 7.93%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 1.09% | 1.71% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 7.93% | 25.24% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) trades at P/E ratio of 7.39, in the cheaper earnings-multiple quartile for its industry. Investors are paying less for each dollar of TTM earnings than they usually pay for comparable businesses.
MPC
Energy industry group
7.39
Group distribution
- Max
- 39.54
- Q3
- 21.72
- Median
- 12.19
- Q1
- 7.71
- MPC
- 7.39
- Min
- 2.99
Largest peers
- XOM
- 17.06
- CVX
- 15.61
- COP
- 14.36
- TTE
- 8.76
- SHEL
- 8.60
- MPC
- 7.39
- PBR
- 4.68
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) trades at 0.58 on P/S ratio, in the lower sales-valuation quartile for its industry. That points to a cheaper revenue stream than most peers, with margin quality still doing the heavy lifting.
MPC
Energy industry group
0.58
Group distribution
- Max
- 5.40
- Q3
- 2.85
- Median
- 1.69
- Q1
- 0.88
- MPC
- 0.58
- Min
- 0.00
Largest peers
- COP
- 2.34
- CVX
- 1.83
- XOM
- 1.74
- TTE
- 0.90
- SHEL
- 0.87
- MPC
- 0.58
- PBR
- 0.22
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) trades at 4.42 on P/B ratio, above the industry benchmark range. Investors are putting an unusually rich price on each dollar of book equity relative to peers.
MPC
Energy industry group
4.42
Group distribution
- MPC
- 4.42
- Max
- 4.21
- Q3
- 2.38
- Median
- 1.51
- Q1
- 1.08
- Min
- 0.01
Largest peers
- MPC
- 4.42
- XOM
- 2.55
- COP
- 2.44
- CVX
- 2.13
- TTE
- 1.46
- SHEL
- 1.43
- PBR
- 1.25
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: MPC | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 7.39 | 12.19 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 0.58 | 1.69 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 4.42 | 1.51 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 16.00% | 5.94% |