Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Stock Analysis
This is a peer-relative look at Automatic Data Processing (ADP): its performance, risk, profitability, growth, financial strength, dividend, and valuation are each measured against its Commercial & Professional Services peers, so every number reads in context rather than in isolation.
Company Profile
| Profile Item | ADP |
|---|---|
| Name | Automatic Data Processing Inc. |
| Country/Region | United States |
| GICS Sector | Industrials |
| GICS Industry Group | Commercial & Professional Services |
| GICS Industry | Professional Services |
| GICS Sub-Industry | Human Resource & Employment Services |
| Market Capitalization | 98.42 billion USD |
| Currency | USD |
| Exchange | Nasdaq |
| Listing Date | March 17, 1980 |
| Security Type | Common Stock |
Price Performance
Cumulative Growth
Trailing Returns
Calendar-Year Returns
Performance Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Total Return (1Y) | -15.90% | -4.47% |
| Total Return (3Y, Annualized) | 3.59% | 4.12% |
| Total Return (5Y, Annualized) | 6.09% | 2.70% |
Risk Profile
Drawdown History
Return Distribution
Risk Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Volatility (1Y, Annualized) | 26.02% | 39.55% |
| Beta (5Y) | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Max Drawdown (5Y) | -40.78% | -56.72% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Return Positioning
Risk-Adjusted Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio (1Y) | -0.77 | -0.21 |
| Sortino Ratio (1Y) | -1.10 | -0.31 |
Profitability
ROE (TTM)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) posts ROE of 71.21%, above the industry benchmark range. Equity is being turned into profit at an exceptional rate, but very high ROE should still be checked against leverage, buybacks, and the size of the equity base.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
71.21%
Group distribution
- ADP
- 71.21%
- Max
- 53.04%
- Q3
- 25.65%
- Median
- 13.99%
- Q1
- 2.99%
- Min
- -28.46%
Largest peers
- ADP
- 71.21%
- RELX
- 70.51%
- CTAS
- 40.71%
- WM
- 29.94%
- RSG
- 18.35%
- WCN
- 13.12%
- PAYX
- --
Net Margin (TTM)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) keeps 20.12% of revenue as net profit, putting net margin in the upper peer quartile. After operating costs, interest, and taxes, more of each sales dollar reaches shareholders than it does at most industry peers.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
20.12%
Group distribution
- Max
- 26.63%
- ADP
- 20.12%
- Q3
- 11.56%
- Median
- 6.26%
- Q1
- 1.30%
- Min
- -13.15%
Largest peers
- PAYX
- 26.63%
- RELX
- 21.53%
- ADP
- 20.12%
- CTAS
- 17.75%
- RSG
- 12.99%
- WM
- 10.99%
- WCN
- 10.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) turns 30.18% of revenue into operating profit, putting operating margin in the upper peer quartile. Before financing and taxes enter the picture, the day-to-day business keeps more of each sales dollar than most industry peers.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
30.18%
Group distribution
- Max
- 38.33%
- ADP
- 30.18%
- Q3
- 17.67%
- Median
- 9.37%
- Q1
- 3.13%
- Min
- -4.52%
Largest peers
- PAYX
- 38.33%
- RELX
- 31.41%
- ADP
- 30.18%
- CTAS
- 23.65%
- RSG
- 20.20%
- WCN
- 18.75%
- WM
- 17.52%
Profitability Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM) | 71.21% | 13.99% |
| ROA (TTM) | 5.95% | 5.17% |
| Net Margin (TTM) | 20.12% | 6.26% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 30.18% | 9.37% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 48.50% | 36.49% |
Growth
Revenue Growth
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) grew revenue 7.07%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Top-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
EPS Growth
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) grew earnings per share 9.67%, roughly around the peer group's normal range. Bottom-line momentum looks broadly typical for the industry.
Growth Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 7.07% | 6.05% |
| Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR) | 7.61% | 6.27% |
| EPS Growth (YoY) | 9.67% | 6.77% |
| EPS Growth (3Y CAGR) | 12.55% | 9.88% |
Financial Strength
Current Ratio (MRQ)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has current ratio of 1.04, in the tighter-liquidity quartile for its industry. The short-term cushion is thinner than most peers carry, even if the absolute comfort level still depends on the business model.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
1.04
Group distribution
- Max
- 3.17
- Q3
- 2.01
- Median
- 1.48
- Q1
- 1.13
- ADP
- 1.04
- Min
- 0.45
Largest peers
- CTAS
- 1.43
- PAYX
- 1.15
- ADP
- 1.04
- WM
- 0.93
- WCN
- 0.69
- RSG
- 0.67
- RELX
- 0.49
Debt / Equity (MRQ)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, roughly in line with the peer group’s normal leverage range. Its mix of debt and equity looks typical for the industry.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
0.69
Group distribution
- Max
- 2.61
- Q3
- 1.39
- Median
- 0.94
- ADP
- 0.69
- Q1
- 0.40
- Min
- 0.01
Largest peers
- RELX
- 3.04
- WM
- 2.28
- PAYX
- 1.24
- RSG
- 1.18
- WCN
- 1.17
- ADP
- 0.69
- CTAS
- 0.53
Financial Strength Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio (MRQ) | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Debt / Equity (MRQ) | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 0.18 | 2.67 |
Dividends
Dividend Yield (TTM)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has dividend yield of 2.54%, in the upper peer-yield quartile while still inside the industry range. The dividend offers more cash income per dollar of share price than most peers, though payout coverage still matters.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
2.54%
Group distribution
- Max
- 3.77%
- ADP
- 2.54%
- Q3
- 1.82%
- Median
- 0.44%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- ADP
- 2.54%
- RELX
- 1.98%
- WM
- 1.43%
- RSG
- 1.11%
- CTAS
- 0.89%
- WCN
- 0.78%
- PAYX
- 0.00%
Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has payout ratio of 60.45%, above the industry’s usual payout band. A larger share of earnings is going to dividends, so the cushion narrows if profit weakens.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
60.45%
Group distribution
- Max
- 90.59%
- ADP
- 60.45%
- Q3
- 36.56%
- Median
- 16.11%
- Q1
- 0.00%
- Min
- 0.00%
Largest peers
- PAYX
- 90.59%
- ADP
- 60.45%
- RELX
- 57.42%
- WM
- 49.49%
- CTAS
- 36.66%
- RSG
- 35.22%
- WCN
- 32.44%
Dividend Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 2.54% | 0.44% |
| Dividend Payout Ratio (TTM) | 60.45% | 16.11% |
Valuation
P/E Ratio (TTM)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) trades at P/E ratio of 23.81, near the industry’s usual earnings multiple. The stock is not showing a clear peer discount or premium on trailing earnings.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
23.81
Group distribution
- Max
- 67.06
- Q3
- 38.84
- ADP
- 23.81
- Median
- 23.07
- Q1
- 16.03
- Min
- 4.96
Largest peers
- WCN
- 41.69
- CTAS
- 41.15
- WM
- 34.60
- RSG
- 30.79
- ADP
- 23.81
- PAYX
- 23.57
- RELX
- 23.05
P/S Ratio (TTM)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) trades at 4.56 on P/S ratio, in the higher sales-valuation quartile. Investors are paying up for each dollar of revenue, so stronger margins, growth, or revenue quality need to carry that price.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
4.56
Group distribution
- Max
- 7.33
- ADP
- 4.56
- Q3
- 3.42
- Median
- 1.37
- Q1
- 0.74
- Min
- 0.13
Largest peers
- PAYX
- 10.04
- CTAS
- 7.12
- RELX
- 5.96
- ADP
- 4.56
- WCN
- 4.45
- RSG
- 3.96
- WM
- 3.68
P/B Ratio (MRQ)
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) trades at 15.53 on P/B ratio, above the industry benchmark range. Investors are putting an unusually rich price on each dollar of book equity relative to peers.
ADP
Commercial & Professional Services industry group
15.53
Group distribution
- ADP
- 15.53
- Max
- 10.74
- Q3
- 5.92
- Median
- 3.25
- Q1
- 1.95
- Min
- -2.86
Largest peers
- RELX
- 75.12
- CTAS
- 15.60
- ADP
- 15.53
- PAYX
- 10.66
- WM
- 9.36
- RSG
- 5.52
- WCN
- 5.22
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | Current stock: ADP | Industry group median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 23.81 | 23.07 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 4.56 | 1.37 |
| P/B Ratio (MRQ) | 15.53 | 3.25 |
| Free Cash Flow Yield (TTM) | 4.83% | 5.04% |